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Exponential Hardness of Off-Policy Evaluation under History-Dependent Logging

Researchers prove off-policy evaluation under history-dependent logging requires exponentially many episodes, resolving a hardness question for model-based POMDP evaluation.

The paper constructs POMDPs with at most two latent states per stage, three actions, and a three-memory-state logger where evaluating a known deterministic target policy to accuracy 1/8 requires Θ((3/2)^H log(1/δ)) episodes for any horizon H≥3. Coverage and outcome-revealing conditions hold with constants independent of H, yet a reset erases the unknown transition that determines the target value. The authors characterize the resulting statistical experiment exactly, derive a matching optimal estimator, and validate predictions on a two-lane gridworld. This settles the history-dependent-logging, model-based case posed by Zhang and Jiang (arXiv:2503.01134).

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL · 19h agoAI research

Playing log(N)-Questions over Wikipedia Abstracts: Communication Efficiency Between Paired Frontier Models

Six frontier models play a two-agent log(N)-Questions game; Claude Opus 5 lags with 28/68 wins while the top five are near-tied.

The study evaluates six frontier models on a two-agent game where a questioner must identify one of N Wikipedia lead paragraphs in exactly log2 N yes/no questions, run over 408 games at $363 total API cost. Claude Opus 5 wins 28 of 68 games versus 45-56 for GLM-5.3, GPT-5.6 Sol, Grok 4.6, Gemini 3.8 Flash, and Kimi K3. Pooled top-five win rates decline with set size (r=-0.973) and fit win = p^(log2 N) with per-round reliability p=0.928, and information per question correlates with win rate at r=+0.88.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL · 19h agoAI research 20 sources

How much of F-Droid is LLM generated?

A FOSS maintainer manually graded 102 F-Droid apps from the September 12, 2026 update batch, finding many show signs of LLM-generated code.

A student and FOSS app maintainer reviewed 102 apps pushed to F-Droid on September 12, 2026, assigning each a three-tier rating for likelihood of LLM-authored code (mostly AI >50%, hard to say/mostly human, no signs of AI). The heuristic relies on commit aesthetics, README and branding style, and the presence of agentic infrastructure like Claude Code or Codex, which automatically places an app in the 'mostly AI' tier. Example ratings include Amber (Nostr event signer) as mostly AI, and Aria for Misskey as showing no AI signs. The author stresses reliable detection of LLM-generated code from text alone is impossible, so ratings are approximate.

Hacker News · AI · 2d agoAI researchHN 46↑ · 23 comments

Root-Cause Attribution Is a Search Problem: Continual Search for Long-Horizon Agent Failures

Continual Search framework iteratively prompts LLM judges to keep searching agent execution logs, boosting long-horizon failure root-cause attribution accuracy.

The paper frames automated root-cause attribution (RCA) for long-horizon AI agent failures as a search problem, since relevant evidence is sparse and distributed across massive execution traces. The authors propose Continual Search, an iterative framework that nudges an LLM judge across successive turns to keep hunting unresolved diagnostic evidence instead of settling on an early plausible diagnosis. They introduce MegaRCA-Mix, a benchmark of 50 human-annotated failure trials on long-horizon, execution-heavy tasks. On MegaRCA-Mix, Continual Search improves GPT-5.5's F1 from 0.349 to 0.498 (over 40% gain), and lower-tier models can surpass higher-tier counterparts when search is effective.

Hugging Face daily papers · 6d agoAI research1

Agent Harness vs Agent Framework vs MCP: Which Layer Owns the Loop, State, Tools, Permissions, and Recovery

Architecture explainer separates agent harnesses, frameworks, and MCP by which layer owns the loop, state, permissions, and recovery.

The article distinguishes agent harnesses (OpenAI Codex, Claude Agent SDK), which own the execution loop, sandbox, permission model, and recovery; frameworks (LangGraph, OpenAI Agents SDK, Microsoft Agent Framework), which supply composable primitives; and MCP, a stateless JSON-RPC wire protocol governed by the Linux Foundation's Agentic AI Foundation since December 2025. An ownership matrix maps the execution loop, state, tool transport, permissions, recovery, sandboxing, and multi-agent orchestration to each layer. The 2026-07-28 MCP specification made the protocol fully stateless, retiring the initialize handshake and session headers.

MarkTechPost · 2d agoAI research1

When LLM judges agree, should we believe them?

Amazon ICML paper uses Ising models to correct correlated LLM-judge votes, beating accuracy-weighted panels by 9-14%.

Amazon Science describes an ICML paper, "Dependence-aware label aggregation for LLM-as-a-judge via Ising models," addressing how correlated judge outputs inflate majority-vote confidence. The unsupervised method models pairwise dependence between judges, learning both reliability and similarity without human reference labels. Tested on relevance, toxicity, and summarization tasks with 10 judge models at temperature zero, it outperformed accuracy-weighted voting by 9% to 14%.

Hacker News · AI · 2d agoAI researchHN 41↑ · 23 comments

A Princeton Researcher Proposes Recurrent Looped Transformer (RLT) that Carries Decoder State across Every Token, Fixing 96 Blocks per Token with Unbounded Temporal Depth

Princeton researcher Yifan Zhang proposes Recurrent Looped Transformer, carrying full decoder state across every token for unbounded temporal depth.

Yifan Zhang's technical report defines the Recurrent Looped Transformer (RLT), pairing a causal encoder with a recurrent decoder whose final output and layerwise sliding-window attention cache carry into every subsequent token with no prompt-response boundary reset. The reference configuration ties 48 encoder and 48 decoder layers, executing 96 logical blocks per token while the state path grows to 48t blocks after t tokens at fixed per-token compute. The report details RL replay contracts that rebuild all states under current parameters and exact prefix snapshots for multi-turn serving, but explicitly reports no measured efficiency, reasoning quality, or scaling results.

MarkTechPost · 3d agoAI research1

Objective vs. Search: Decomposing What Makes a Good Tokeniser

New tokeniser study shows search procedure, not optimisation objective, drives bits-per-byte performance across model sizes, vocabulary sizes, and multilingual settings.

The paper disentangles BPE and UnigramLM along two axes: optimisation objective (compression vs log-likelihood) and search procedure (bottom-up merging vs top-down pruning). Two new algorithms, BottomUpLL and TopDownComp, complete the 2x2 design space, and trained language models are evaluated on bits-per-byte and BLiMP across model sizes, vocabulary sizes, and English-only vs multilingual domains. Bottom-up tokenisers consistently achieve lower bits-per-byte in most settings, while BLiMP shows no consistent relationship with design choice.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL · 19h agoAI research

Unsolved Problem by Fields Medalist Breached by Two High School Students

Two high school students used Claude Opus 5 and GPT-5.6 Sol to help solve an open Lorentzian polynomials problem, posting a 75-page arXiv proof.

Aayush Bathija and Prince Rohatgi of Oak Park High School, mentored by UCLA postdoc Daniel Soskin, published the 75-page paper 'Bounded Ratios for Lorentzian Polynomials' (arXiv 2609.05341), solving an open problem in Fields Medalist June Huh's Lorentzian polynomial theory. The main structural theorem extends bounded coefficient-ratio characterization from quadratic to arbitrary-degree polynomials via discrete convexity conditions. The students used Claude Opus 5 and GPT-5.6 Sol for exploration and proof ideas but independently verified all arguments; the result follows an open letter from 25 Fields Medalists voicing concerns about AI's impact on mathematical rigor.

Hacker News · security · 3d agoAI researchHN 22↑ · 19 comments

VC-Attention: Value Smoothing and Softmax Casting for Low-bit Attention

VC-Attention is a training-free low-bit attention method for diffusion transformers, achieving 1.46-1.59x kernel speedups on datacenter GPUs with higher fidelity.

VC-Attention is a training-free low-bit attention framework for diffusion transformers that pairs V-Smooth value smoothing via lightweight online clustering with ExpCast-FP8, which maps log-domain scores directly to E4M3 FP8 probability codes and eliminates the FP32 softmax exponential. It is implemented for B200, B300, H200, RTX PRO 6000, and RTX 5090 GPUs. Across Wan2.2, LongCat-Video, HunyuanVideo-1.5, and MiniMax-H3, it improves fidelity over low-bit baselines and speeds attention 1.46-1.59x over BF16 FlashAttention-4 on datacenter Blackwell and Hopper GPUs and 2.3-3.6x on workstation cards, with 1.13-1.70x faster end-to-end clip generation.

Hugging Face daily papersupdated · 12h agofirst · 3d agoAI research 2 sources

When Agents Slow Down: Understanding LLM Agents' Test-Time Strategies via Elo-per-token Analysis

Elo-per-token analysis shows LLM agents' marginal gains drop below independent sampling at scale; parallel sessions beat one long session.

The paper proposes Elo-per-token analysis, using a Bradley-Terry model to measure how agent performance scales with token budget on open-ended tasks with continuous scoring. Across four agents and four benchmarks with sessions up to 100M tokens, agents initially convert tokens to Elo faster than independent sampling but eventually slow below the linear-in-log-compute reference. The authors define a scaling inflection point and show that splitting 100M tokens across parallel sessions on FrontierCS Polyomino Packing gains +264 Elo over one long session and +355 over ten short sessions. Human contestants on shared AtCoder Heuristic Contest tasks improve superlinearly, indicating headroom over current agents.

Hugging Face daily papers · 3d agoAI research5· 2 reads

Real-SWE: Benchmarking AI models on private, real-world, enterprise codebases

Real-SWE benchmark tests coding agents on licensed private enterprise codebases; top model Fable 5.1 resolves only 38.8% of tasks.

Real-SWE is a new benchmark evaluating frontier AI coding agents on tasks drawn from private production codebases licensed from real companies, spanning billing, tax calculation, and cross-service migrations. Fable 5.1 with Claude Code leads at 38.8% resolution rate (pass@1 over eight runs), followed by GPT-6 Astra Codex CLI at 33.8% and Gemini 3.8 Flash Gemini CLI at 31.2%. Tasks use native harnesses and realistic tooling including Docker, Kubernetes, PostgreSQL, Redis, and Linear; median reference solutions edit 11 files versus 6 for DeepSWE and FrontierCode.

Hacker News · AI · 4d agoAI researchHN 45↑ · 31 comments1

Flattening Every Memory Peak in Long-Context Mixture-of-Experts Training

Four scheduling techniques bound all memory peaks in long-context MoE training, enabling 120B-667B models at 1M-token context with up to 10.4x throughput.

The paper addresses memory peaks in long-context Mixture-of-Experts training by bounding four unbounded components: expert dispatch with the routing matrix, vocabulary projection, gradient checkpoint boundaries, and optimizer state. It introduces PipelinedLLEP (capped token contributions per dispatch chunk), Ring-DTP (ring circulation of activations or weight shards with online log-sum-exp), Selective Checkpoint Offload (SCO), and OffloadStreamAdamW, all preserving exact loss and gradients. Composed on MoE models from 120B to 667B parameters, the methods enable training at 1M context length, 8-32x the context reach of a tuned FSDP2 baseline, and up to 10.4x its throughput.

Hugging Face daily papers · 4d agoAI research1

Lightning Weave: Improving the Accuracy-Efficiency Frontier of Reasoning Models through Capability Composition

Lightning Weave composes capabilities from independently post-trained models via on-policy distillation, improving Qwen3.5-4B reasoning accuracy while cutting tokens.

Lightning Weave is a post-training framework that merges accuracy and efficiency capabilities from independently post-trained specialist models into a single student via on-policy distillation. Each capability is represented as a policy shift, combined via aligned log-ratio shifts and Tilted-Target DOPD, enabling training without serving multiple live anchor models concurrently. On Qwen3.5-4B, it raises HMMT 2025 accuracy from 59.2% to 64.0% with 10.7% fewer response tokens, and LiveCodeBench v5 accuracy from 41.7% to 54.2% with 9.6% fewer tokens. The authors report a state-of-the-art accuracy-efficiency Pareto frontier across diverse students and math/code benchmarks, with code planned for release.

Hugging Face daily papers · 4d agoAI research

SAS: Simple Attention Sparsification via End-to-End Optimization of Context Ranking

SAS trains a gated sparse attention selector end-to-end with the language modeling loss, beating distillation-based sparsifiers on reasoning, long-context, and agentic tasks.

The paper proposes Simple Attention Sparsification (SAS), which injects a selector's continuous scores into attention softmax logits so the language modeling loss directly optimizes context ranking instead of distilling dense attention distributions. Key design choices include log-form gates inside the softmax, normalized gates calibrated against the current block, and preserved continuous selector scores. A memory-efficient Triton kernel integrates SAS into FlashAttention-style computation for long-sequence training. SAS outperforms trainable sparse attention baselines across budgets, with the largest gains under tight attention budgets.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL · 5d agoAI research 2 sources2

CoRA-NAS: Coarse Ranking and Anchor-Residual Refinement for Neural Architecture Search

CoRA-NAS combines zero-cost proxy ranking with low-cost learning-curve refinement, achieving the best worst-space Spearman correlation across NAS benchmarks.

The paper proposes CoRA-NAS, a two-stage neural architecture search framework pairing a static ranking prior (CoRA-Rank) with learning-curve refinement (CoRA-Refine) that extrapolates early validation curves for sampled anchors and propagates residual corrections with an ExtraTrees model at about 1% of full training cost. Across NAS-Bench-201, NAS-Bench-101, TransNAS-Bench-101, and NATS-SSS it achieves mean Spearman correlations of 0.946, 0.715, 0.786, and 0.894 respectively, with the best worst-space correlation of 0.715 among compared methods. On NAS-Bench-201/CIFAR-100 its selected architecture reaches 73.32% accuracy versus a 73.37% ground-truth best.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL · 6d agoAI research