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When LLM judges agree, should we believe them?

Amazon ICML paper uses Ising models to correct correlated LLM-judge votes, beating accuracy-weighted panels by 9-14%.

Amazon Science describes an ICML paper, "Dependence-aware label aggregation for LLM-as-a-judge via Ising models," addressing how correlated judge outputs inflate majority-vote confidence. The unsupervised method models pairwise dependence between judges, learning both reliability and similarity without human reference labels. Tested on relevance, toxicity, and summarization tasks with 10 judge models at temperature zero, it outperformed accuracy-weighted voting by 9% to 14%.

Hacker News · AISep 14, 16:29 UTC · 2d agoAI research HN 41↑ · 23 comments

Entropy-Regularized Rank-Masked Policy Optimization for Test-Time Reinforcement Learning in Code Generation

Researchers propose ERPO, enabling test-time reinforcement learning for code generation via probe-executed consensus rewards, rank masking, and entropy regularization.

The paper introduces probe-driven test-time reinforcement learning (TTRL) for code generation, where output-free probe inputs are constructed from problem statements and candidate programs are executed on them to compute a Probe Consensus Reward (PCR). Because PCR can be gamed through spurious consensus, the authors propose Entropy-Regularized Rank-Masked Policy Optimization (ERPO), which turns low-PCR outcomes into conservative negative updates via rank masking and constrains policy drift with an entropy ceiling. On coding benchmarks, ERPO substantially improves pass@1 and pass@k in both in-domain adaptation and zero-shot transfer.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CLSep 8, 17:54 UTC · 8d agoAI research1

SAFIRE: Safety-Critical Benchmark for Fine-grained Fire and Smoke Understanding in Multimodal LLMs

SAFIRE, an 83K-image fire and smoke benchmark, shows open-source multimodal LLMs average only 61.9% accuracy on safety-critical fire reasoning.

SAFIRE is a large-scale benchmark for fire-smoke understanding in multimodal LLMs with 83K captioned images across 20 scenarios and 193K multiple-choice VQA questions spanning 10 evaluation dimensions from perception to higher-order reasoning. Annotations were built via a GPT-5.4-assisted multi-stage pipeline with MLLM majority voting. Ten open-source MLLMs (8B-38B) average 61.9% accuracy, exposing major gaps in safety-critical reasoning. Adapting vision encoders on 7% of the domain data raises fire-scene classification from 20.1% to 64.5%.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CLSep 7, 17:59 UTC · 9d agoAI research