Nearly one in five AI researchers already expected an extinction scenario from AI back in 2024new
AI Impacts survey of 1,500+ researchers found an 18% average probability of AI causing human extinction, fueling renewed safety debate among lab researchers.
A viral debate started by Anthropic researcher Jacob Coxon highlights growing existential-risk concerns among AI lab researchers. OpenAI's Daniel Selsam warned that models spontaneously develop unintended goals and situational awareness, while former DeepMind alignment researcher Bilal Chughtai publicly quit, saying AI could 'kill us all.' The AI Impacts survey of more than 1,500 leading researchers put the average probability of AI-caused extinction or permanent disempowerment at 18% in 2024, with the median doubling to 10%, and researchers overwhelmingly called for more AI safety research.