Search: “causal-discovery”

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Discovery Foundation Models: Toward Open-Ended Discovery Intelligence

Proposes Discovery Foundation Models that participate in creating new problems and knowledge, instantiated in Zetema and the GALILEO therapeutic-discovery system.

The paper formulates Discovery Foundation Models (DFMs) as general-purpose systems for open-ended discovery, supporting seven coupled capabilities from problem discovery through evidence-grounded revision and continual improvement. It instantiates the framework with Zetema, combining explicit research-state dynamics, verification gating, external grounding, and cross-task Discovery Skill evolution. GALILEO, a real therapeutic-discovery system, closes the loop between Dry-Lab reasoning, robotic and hands-on Wet-Lab experimentation, and iterative hypothesis revision. The authors also define process-centered evaluation so discovery behavior can be trained and measured beyond final answers.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL·Sep 14, 17:56 UTC · 2d agoAI research 2 sources

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CausalArena: Benchmarking Causal Discovery in the Foundation Model Era

Researchers introduce CausalArena, a unified benchmark revealing that causal discovery rankings shift substantially across structural causal model families and protocols.

The paper presents CausalArena, a unified and evolvable benchmark for causal discovery combining synthetic structural causal models, semantically grounded operational SCMs, formula-grounded scientific SCMs, and public real-world datasets. Experiments across classical, neural, and pretrained causal discovery foundation models show large ranking shifts between benchmark regimes. The authors identify pretraining-evaluation overlap and benchmark diversity as central evaluation challenges.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL·Sep 10, 17:53 UTC · 6d agoAI research

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Causal Foundation Models

A paper introduces causal foundation models (CFMs): pretrained networks that estimate treatment effects on new datasets via in-context learning without fine-tuning.

Causal foundation models (CFMs) apply the foundation-model paradigm to causal inference, replacing bespoke per-problem estimator pipelines with networks pretrained once at scale. CFMs estimate causal quantities such as the average treatment effect on entirely new datasets through in-context learning, without model updates. The work serves as a practical introduction to the emerging area, covering background in causal inference and machine learning and including example code and Jupyter notebooks.

Hugging Face daily papers·Sep 1, 20:00 UTC · 15d agoAI research

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Root-Cause Attribution Is a Search Problem: Continual Search for Long-Horizon Agent Failures

Continual Search framework iteratively prompts LLM judges to keep searching agent execution logs, boosting long-horizon failure root-cause attribution accuracy.

The paper frames automated root-cause attribution (RCA) for long-horizon AI agent failures as a search problem, since relevant evidence is sparse and distributed across massive execution traces. The authors propose Continual Search, an iterative framework that nudges an LLM judge across successive turns to keep hunting unresolved diagnostic evidence instead of settling on an early plausible diagnosis. They introduce MegaRCA-Mix, a benchmark of 50 human-annotated failure trials on long-horizon, execution-heavy tasks. On MegaRCA-Mix, Continual Search improves GPT-5.5's F1 from 0.349 to 0.498 (over 40% gain), and lower-tier models can surpass higher-tier counterparts when search is effective.

Hugging Face daily papers·Sep 10, 20:00 UTC · 6d agoAI research1

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A Chosen Future Can Still Be Rewritten: Causal Writability in Video Models

Study shows video models often learn correct physics but fail to use it; low-dimensional 'causal writability' edits can restore correct motion.

The paper demonstrates 'causal writability' in video generation models: physically correct motion remains available inside the model even when the model outputs incorrect motion. In a red/blue mass oscillation setup, a low-dimensional edit predicted from simple physical variables restores correct fast motion, with a sharp depth boundary marking commitment. Early causal writability predicts which training errors later get corrected, and both writability and closure reproduce in a pretrained 1.3B video model.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL·Sep 14, 17:58 UTC · 2d agoAI research

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Frontier AI Changes Vulnerability Discovery. It Doesn’t Change How Breaches Happen.

Horizon3 and CrowdStrike argue frontier AI accelerates vulnerability discovery but breach outcomes still hinge on post-compromise attacker behavior.

Horizon3.ai, working with CrowdStrike, argues that frontier AI is speeding up vulnerability discovery without changing how breaches actually unfold. The post stresses that impact still depends on what attackers achieve after initial compromise, not on the discovery tooling. The vendors propose connecting attacker-derived evidence to defender action as the practical bridge.

Horizon3.ai·Aug 31, 13:38 UTC · 16d agoIndustry

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Scores Alone Do Not Prove Discovery: The Discovery Certification Protocol for Auditing AI Research Agents

Researchers introduce the Discovery Certification Protocol, an auditable test framework that verifies whether AI research agents' claimed discoveries are genuine.

The Discovery Certification Protocol (DCP) converts AI research agents' discovery claims into executable recovery and feedback tests organized as gated audits. Controlled audits in SQLite optimization and virtual catalyst control produced zero recoveries in 96 episodes, with an upper bound of 0.0468. A deterministic, LLM-free verifier reproduces audit decisions from frozen evidence, giving AI research a common evidence language for outcomes, alternative routes, and feedback effects.

Hugging Face daily papers·Sep 6, 20:00 UTC · 10d agoAI research

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Thought without systematicity? Evaluating reasoning models on rule induction tasks

Study finds reasoning models often fail on structurally equivalent variants of tasks they solve, suggesting their reasoning lacks systematicity.

The paper extends rule induction tasks from cognitive science using task isomorphisms such as recombination and substitution to test systematicity in reasoning models. Despite solving tasks correctly, models frequently fail on structurally equivalent variants of the same task. The authors conclude many model behaviors lack systematicity, making it difficult to establish cognitive abilities beyond the specific evaluation contexts.

Hugging Face daily papers·Sep 11, 20:00 UTC · 5d agoAI research

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From Concept to Context Engine: How Wiz Built AI-Powered Data Discovery

Wiz details the multi-agent pipeline and feedback loops that evolved its bucket scanner into AI-powered data discovery.

Wiz published an engineering write-up on building its AI-powered data discovery capability, tracing the evolution from a bucket scanner to a context engine. The post explains the multi-agent pipeline and feedback loops behind the system. The article is a vendor engineering deep-dive with no disclosed vulnerabilities, incidents, or exploitation activity.

Wiz Blog·Aug 27, 15:52 UTC · 20d agoTools1

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Biology-in-the-loop: Amortized Adaptive Hit Discovery in CRISPR Screens

Researchers release AssayBench-Loop, a 1,389-screen CRISPR benchmark, and AssayLoop, a framework that learns adaptive hit discovery policies.

The paper introduces AssayBench-Loop, a large-scale benchmark of 1,389 CRISPR screens across five phenotype categories for adaptive hit discovery under budget constraints. It also introduces AssayLoop, which combines AssayFormer, a transformer-based amortized acquisition policy trained across historical screens, with LLM-derived biological priors via an adaptive handoff. On temporally held-out screens, AssayLoop achieves 5.67-fold enrichment over random selection and recovers 27.7% of hits after assaying roughly 5% of the candidate library, outperforming existing adaptive-design methods and standalone LLMs.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL·Sep 10, 17:45 UTC · 6d agoAI research1

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Reason Through the Latent! Making Latent Visual Reasoning Necessary

Researchers introduce CVRR, forcing multimodal models to rely on recurrent latent computation rather than accessible image tokens, validated via causal interventions and benchmarks.

The paper presents Causal Visual Recurrent Reasoning (CVRR), which makes recurrent hidden-state computation the required image-conditioned path for prediction in vision-language models. Before decoding, visual states and the original multimodal KV cache are removed so only the final recurrent state carries image information to the answer. CVRR retains strong performance on V*, MMVP, BLINK, and MME-RealWorld-Lite while comparable latent reasoners fail under the same constraint. Causal interventions show predictions remain sensitive to recurrent content and that persistent visual evidence causally revises the recurrent trajectory.

Hugging Face daily papers·Sep 5, 20:00 UTC · 11d agoAI research

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Molecular Déjà Vu: Digit-Level Retrieval of Published Values in Frontier Language Models

Audit of 22 frontier models finds widespread verbatim retrieval of published molecular property values, with higher reasoning increasing recall of memorized numbers.

An arXiv audit tests 22 frontier LLMs across 12 molecular regression benchmarks for verbatim retrieval of published values. More than 50% of the LLMs show verbatim retrieval on five datasets, and identical experiments are flagged 89% more often at a high reasoning level than at the lowest one. Suppressing retrieval moves model prediction errors closer together in relative terms, suggesting predictive capability is not determined solely by memorized values.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL·Sep 4, 17:32 UTC · 12d agoAI research1

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What Fal.Con 2026 Reinforced: AI Makes Proving Exposure More Important Than Ever

Horizon3's Fal.Con 2026 recap argues AI-accelerated vulnerability discovery makes continuous attacker-based exposure validation essential for defenders.

In a Fal.Con 2026 recap, Horizon3 argues that AI is compressing the time between vulnerability discovery and exploitation, making attacker-derived evidence about real exploitability the key prioritization signal. Horizon3 announced it joined CrowdStrike's Project QuiltWorks, with NodeZero exploitability intelligence flowing into Falcon Next-Gen SIEM and Falcon Fusion SOAR workflows able to trigger NodeZero 1-Click Verify for remediation testing. The company reported running over 1,200 NodeZero demos during the show, and CrowdStrike CEO George Kurtz's keynote framed AI red teaming and offense-informing-defense as central themes.

Horizon3.ai·Sep 4, 17:46 UTC · 12d agoIndustry

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Perturbation Probing: A New Diagnostic for the Fragility of LLM Safety

Unit 42 research shows LLM safety refusals concentrate in a thin neural layer, motivating external, multi-layered AI security controls.

Palo Alto Networks Unit 42 introduces Perturbation Probing, a diagnostic technique for measuring the fragility of LLM safety mechanisms. The research finds that safety refusal behavior is localized within a thin neural layer, implying small perturbations can undermine built-in refusals. The authors argue this motivates external, multi-layered security defenses on top of model-internal safety training.

Palo Alto Unit 42·Aug 28, 22:00 UTC · 18d agoAI safety & security

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Opaque recurrence, and other AI terms that you should probably know

TechCrunch updates its plain-English glossary defining common AI terms from AGI and agents to chain-of-thought reasoning.

TechCrunch maintains a regularly updated glossary of AI terminology, defining terms such as AGI, AI agents, API endpoints, chain of thought, coding agents, compute, deep learning, and diffusion. It highlights 'opaque recurrence', the reasoning technique in OpenAI's new Astra model that has drawn attention from AI safety researchers. The piece is an educational living document rather than new research or a product announcement.

TechCrunch · AI·Sep 7, 19:24 UTC · 9d agoAI industry1

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Searching for New Physics with Reinforcement Learning

Researchers apply reinforcement learning to identify SMEFT operators explaining particle physics anomalies, reproducing and improving known CDF W-mass results.

The paper introduces a reinforcement learning method to search the large Standard Model Effective Field Theory (SMEFT) operator space for explanations of measurement anomalies. It was validated on the CDF W-mass anomaly, reproducing and improving known results, then applied to a harder multi-anomaly scenario. RL efficiently navigates complex loop-level operator correlations that bias human-driven phenomenological analysis.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL·Sep 9, 16:07 UTC · 7d agoAI research

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The Vulnerability Gap: Why Discovery Is Outrunning Repair

Dark Reading argues AI-accelerated vulnerability discovery and tightening regulation are widening the gap between flaw discovery and repair capacity.

The article argues that AI tooling is increasing the pace at which vulnerabilities are discovered while remediation capacity has not kept up, creating a growing backlog. It frames this widening 'vulnerability gap', combined with a tightening regulatory environment, as an all-hands-on-deck moment for security teams. The piece is analysis and opinion rather than disclosure of a specific flaw.

Dark Reading·Aug 24, 14:00 UTC · 23d agoIndustry

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Mythos Vulnerability Firehose Hits a Human Bottleneck

Analysis of Project Glasswing findings shows only a fraction of discovered vulnerabilities have reached disclosure and even fewer are fixed.

Dark Reading reports that an analysis of Project Glasswing findings shows only a fraction of the vulnerabilities discovered by the program have reached disclosure, and an even smaller number have been fixed. The article examines how the volume of findings from the discovery program is bottlenecked by limited human triage and remediation capacity. The piece highlights growing tension between high-volume vulnerability discovery and the industry's ability to process, disclose and patch reports.

Dark Reading·Sep 9, 21:19 UTC · 6d agoResearch

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CodeTD: Topology of Attention Detects Hallucinations in Code LLMs

CodeTD detects hallucinations in code LLMs before execution by analyzing topological patterns of attention maps, outperforming recent baselines.

CodeTD applies topological data analysis (TDA) to code LLM attention maps to quantify prompt-generation mismatch as a pre-execution correctness signal. Experiments cover HumanEval, MBPP, BigCodeBench, and MultiPL-E across 5 programming languages and 10 code LLMs up to 34B parameters. The method outperforms recent baselines and transfers between coding benchmarks, helping catch code that fails the task or embeds security vulnerabilities.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL·Sep 7, 17:26 UTC · 9d agoAI research1

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Negative Self-Distillation: Learning to Reason by Avoiding Flaws

Researchers propose Negative Self-Distillation (NSD), a label-free LLM self-improvement method that diverges from self-generated flawed reasoning rather than imitating privileged solutions.

The authors show On-Policy Self-Distillation can degrade complex reasoning by forcing imitation of artificially confident traces built on privileged information, suppressing uncertainty and self-correction. NSD instead generates a question-specific negative condition — such as acting as a 'careless reasoner' — and pushes the model's distribution away from it without ground-truth labels. A dynamic gating mechanism isolates reasoning-critical tokens so gradient updates fix behavioral flaws without damaging foundational linguistic capabilities. NSD consistently outperforms OPSD and other label-free, self-bootstrapping reinforcement learning baselines.

Hugging Face daily papers·Sep 9, 20:00 UTC · 7d agoAI research1

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Dream-RSI: Recursive Self-Improvement through Evolving Worlds

Dream-RSI refines exploration policies by dreaming in replay simulators built from discovery history, cutting discovery costs across coding tasks.

Dream-RSI is a framework for scalable recursive self-improvement in autonomous coding agents, where a lightweight orchestration layer makes exploration explicit and programmable while leaving the underlying agent unchanged. Its core insight is that accumulated discovery history can serve as a replay simulator over the realized search space, providing immediate, low-cost off-policy feedback to evaluate and refine exploration policies without expensive online evaluations. Across algorithm engineering, mathematical optimization, and GPU kernel engineering, Dream-RSI achieves competitive or improved discovery quality at substantially reduced cost.

Hugging Face daily papers·Sep 13, 20:00 UTC · 3d agoAI research

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Transfer Learning for Evolving Domains

TrED formalizes transfer learning for domains whose data availability evolves over time, arguing classical settings are regimes along one trajectory, and remains unsolved.

The paper introduces Transfer Learning for Evolving Domains (TrED), formalizing transfer learning as a trajectory problem where target data and labels are progressively collected. TrED is specified by a data availability process fixed by the environment, a freely chosen learning protocol, and an evaluation criterion scoring the whole trajectory of models. Classical settings like domain generalization, domain adaptation, and multi-domain learning are recovered as regimes within this framework. The authors survey the literature and find most methods are tailored to a single regime, leaving TrED a well-posed open problem.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL·Sep 11, 16:37 UTC · 5d agoAI research

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Generative Marketing Mix Modeling: A Causal Inference Framework Linking GEO and GEM to Business Impact

Paper proposes Generative Marketing Mix Modeling to causally estimate Generative Engine Optimization and Marketing effects on business outcomes.

The authors develop GMMM, a causal inference framework for measuring how often users see and notice a firm's name in generated answers, which standard marketing data ignore. For GEO it combines repeated generated answers with question counts, shares of generative-system usage and notice probabilities; for GEM it uses sponsored placement records with notice probabilities. The framework compares expected business responses under alternative treatment sequences, establishes identification conditions, and is evaluated on simulated product-recommendation answers in English and Japanese.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL·Sep 10, 17:57 UTC · 6d agoAI research

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ScienceBuddy: Recursive-in-Recursive Self-Improvement for Interactive Scientific Agents

ScienceBuddy couples harness evolution with model reinforcement learning so scientific agents continually self-improve from researcher feedback in an interactive workspace.

The authors release ScienceBuddy, an interactive scientific research workspace that transforms researcher requests, feedback, and execution evidence into tasks and evaluation rubrics for continual learning. Its recursive-in-recursive self-improvement paradigm couples harness evolution (inner recursion, model fixed) with model reinforcement learning under the improved harness (outer recursion). Case studies span four scientific task families, and the system is released to the scientific community as a research product.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL·Sep 15, 17:55 UTC · 1d agoAI research 2 sources

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Unfold The World: Factorize 4D Properties in Reinforcing Spatial Reasoning

FactoSR factorizes 4D spatial reasoning into XY, Z, and T reinforcement-learning sub-objectives, boosting VLM performance on VSI-Bench by 5.9% and All-Angles-Bench by 4.5%.

Researchers present FactoSR, a factorized reinforcement learning framework that decomposes world-consistent reasoning into planar correspondence, depth consistency, and temporal reversibility sub-objectives. Optimizing these verifiable constraints turns the ill-posed projection recovery problem into tangible reasoning steps. Evaluations show gains of 5.9% on VSI-Bench and 4.5% on All-Angles-Bench for 3D and 4D reasoning, arguing VLMs' spatial bottleneck stems from training on 2D projections versus latent 3D geometry and temporal continuity.

Hugging Face daily papers·Sep 2, 20:00 UTC · 14d agoAI research

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Necessary or Sufficient? Evaluating LLM Explanations With Behavioural Evidence

New framework tests whether LLM-cited explanation factors are necessary or sufficient, finding weak correlation across Claude, GPT, and Gemini models.

An arXiv paper introduces black-box intervention tests measuring whether factors LLMs cite in their explanations are necessary or sufficient for their outputs in agent oversight workflows. Across eight models from the Claude, GPT, and Gemini families, Spearman correlations between cited rankings and measured influence ranged from 0.349-0.354 (advisor recommendation) to 0.431-0.580 (prompt monitoring). Uncited factors scored above the lowest cited factor in up to 57.6% of advisor responses, showing cited top-three factors do not reliably identify the most influential inputs.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL·Sep 4, 17:37 UTC · 12d agoAI safety & security1

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Online Change-point Detection for Cooperative Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning

Researchers propose Patterns of Past Rewards (PPR), a lightweight reward-based detector that flags environment shifts in cooperative multi-agent reinforcement learning training.

The paper introduces Patterns of Past Rewards (PPR), an algorithm-agnostic detector that smooths cooperative agents' return streams and applies statistical drift testing to flag environment or task changes. Evaluation in a custom Speaker-Listener environment built on the Multi-Agent Particle Environment under two non-stationarity scenarios shows PPR balances detection speed against alarm stability. It avoids the repeated alarms of a smoothed-return baseline and the missed shifts of raw-return detection, enabling MARL systems to reliably identify major changes during training.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL·Sep 4, 15:49 UTC · 12d agoAI research1

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One Symptom, Three Levers: A Critical Review of On-Policy Self-Distillation

A review paper frames on-policy self-distillation collapse as governed by three levers: token weighting, privileged information, and guidance decay.

The paper critically reviews On-Policy Self-Distillation (OPSD), where a language model trains on its own generations scored token-by-token by a teacher conditioned on privileged information such as reference solutions or environment feedback. It identifies collapse, the progressive narrowing of producible reasoning paths, as the dominant failure mode and analyzes it through three levers: signal weighting, the nature of privileged information, and teacher dynamics. The review is restricted to mathematical reasoning, reports no new experiments, and offers a shared vocabulary separating settled findings from disputed ones.

Hugging Face daily papers·Aug 25, 20:00 UTC · 22d agoAI research

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LimiX-2: A Contextual Mechanism Network Towards General Structured-Data Intelligence

LimiX-2 scales Contextual Mechanism Networks pretrained via context-conditional masked modeling, beating tabular foundation models on TabArena, TALENT, and BCCO benchmarks.

LimiX-2 is a new tabular model in the LimiX family, developed through model and data scaling guided by previously established scaling laws under the Contextual Mechanism Networks (CMNs) paradigm. It is pretrained with Context-Conditional Masked Modeling (CCMM) on synthetic datasets generated by structural causal models spanning diverse graph structures, functional mechanisms, and observation processes. It outperforms dataset-specific models and tabular foundation models on TabArena, TALENT, and BCCO, and its feature attention encodes direct causal relationships, enabling accurate causal skeleton recovery.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL·Sep 15, 17:30 UTC · 1d agoAI research1

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