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Dependency-Aware ROM/CBD Correctness Bounds for ML-KEM-768 at the Heuristic Failure Scale

Researchers certify a dependency-preserving upper bound of 2^-164.81 on honest decapsulation failure for ML-KEM-768 within an explicit ROM/CBD abstraction.

The paper models ML-KEM-768's domain-separated public-matrix streams as independent uniform ring elements and secret polynomials as CBD2 primitives, explicitly not claiming an information-theoretic result about the fixed SHAKE instantiation in FIPS 203. It preserves dependencies from the public matrix and both ciphertext-compression terms, using a graph-coupled reference, a proper-ideal bivariate Fourier transport, and a 256-coordinate union bound. The certified bound is Pr[K' != K] <= 2^-164.81, with the exponent 164.8107162... exceeding the 164.81 threshold by only about 0.0007162 bits; 164.82 is not certified. The bound applies to messages fixed independently of the randomness under honest encryption and decapsulation, and is not an exact DFR, a fixed-SHAKE equivalence, or a new IND-CCA reduction.

arXiv cs.CR · 7d agoResearch1

GAUGE: A Formal Framework for Measuring Cryptographic Security under Heterogeneous Adversary Cost Models

GAUGE frames cryptographic security as profiles over adversary cost models, certifying a ranking reversal between ML-KEM-512 and AES-128 from a 4–5% memory pricing shift.

GAUGE represents cryptographic security as a function over admissible adversary cost models (a security profile), proves profiles are piecewise-linear and concave, and establishes a rating trilemma when two profiles cross. A polynomial-time linear-programming procedure certifies whether the ranking of two schemes is robust, reverses under admissible models, or is genuinely incomparable. Applied to NIST post-quantum standards, the framework certifies a ML-KEM-512 versus AES-128 ranking reversal from a 4–5% shift in memory pricing and measures lattice-sieving cost drift of 9.79 bits per year over eight years. A hybrid X25519 + ML-KEM-768 handshake reduces combined-break probability twenty-fold at a 2.3 kilobyte cost.

arXiv cs.CR · 22h agoResearch