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ENCP: Episode-Normalized Conformal Prediction for Vision-and-Language Navigation

ENCP calibrates conformal prediction per navigation episode, giving step-level coverage guarantees for vision-language navigation agents despite within-episode dependence.

Episode-Normalized Conformal Prediction (ENCP) rescales a nonconformity score by a VLN policy's residual confidence and calibrates one maximum score per episode, preserving step-level coverage of at least 1−α despite dependence among steps within an episode. Across four VLN policies and three nonconformity scores on R2R and REVERIE, ENCP meets all reported empirical step-coverage targets in seen-to-unseen evaluation. The model-agnostic uncertainty estimates can signal when an agent should defer to a stronger predictor or human assistance.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL · 21h agoAI research

Conformal Prediction for Offensive Security

Researchers apply conformal prediction to offensive security, presenting initial findings on privacy-attacking machine learning and network traffic analysis.

The paper observes that conformal prediction (CP), introduced over 25 years ago, has been used mainly defensively in cybersecurity and rarely for offensive purposes. The authors present initial findings applying CP in two offensive areas: attacks on privacy-preserving machine learning and network traffic analysis. The work aims to close a gap in the offensive security literature rather than report an incident.

arXiv cs.CR · 12d agoResearch

Unifying Conformal Language Tasks with In-Context Ensembles

Researchers propose Conformal Relevance, which builds conformal score functions via in-context example curation and ensembling to improve conciseness across seven NLP tasks.

The paper targets NLP tasks like summarization and extractive QA that reduce to retrieving content under coverage and conciseness constraints. Conformal Relevance replaces hand-engineered LLM scoring prompts with curated in-context examples and ensembles, maintaining coverage guarantees while improving conciseness with minimal manual input. The authors demonstrate the framework on seven NLP tasks and contribute theory, including a complementarity condition for when ensembling improves worst-case sentence scores and a saturation bound on ensemble gains.

Hugging Face daily papers · 14d agoAI research1

Target leakage, not model class, explains reported accuracy in survey-based cardiovascular screening: a leakage-tiered audit of glass-box and tabular foundation models

Audits of 10 classifiers on BRFSS show target leakage, not model class, drives the reported 0.89 AUROC in survey-based cardiovascular screening.

The study benchmarks ten model classes, including glass-box and tabular foundation models, for prevalent myocardial infarction on 442,067 respondents of the 2022 BRFSS across five feature tiers of decreasing leakage risk. Removing two post-diagnostic features costs every model 0.049-0.051 AUROC and collapses performance into a 0.0045-wide band, and the explainable boosting machine matches all alternatives within 0.005 while scoring roughly 104x faster than the strongest foundation model. Frozen models transport within 0.002 AUROC to 2023 data; the authors conclude evaluation practice and feature sets, not model capacity, are the binding constraint.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL · 5d agoAI research1

YuE2 · Frontier Music with Symbolic Planning

YuE2, a 3.59B-parameter music generation model, scores 6.9632 on SongBench, beating Suno v5 via symbolic planning.

YuE2 is a music generation model of roughly 3.59B parameters and 28 layers supporting song creation, covering, and agentic editing through editable ABC symbolic scores. Its best-of-8 setting reaches 6.9632 on SongBench, the highest mean among 15 evaluated settings on WildSongBench (192 prompts), ahead of Suno v5 at 6.8721. The project also introduces MERT2, whose 632M-parameter encoders achieve state of the art on 14 of 15 MARBLE metrics, and SheetSage2, which transcribes beats, downbeats, key, chords, structure, and melody with SOTA on 10 of 13 benchmark metrics.

Hacker News · AIupdated · 4d agofirst · 5d agoModel release 7 sourcesHN 43↑ · 35 comments