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IBM releases SOTA Granite Time Series PatchTST-FM-r2 model with commercial-friendly license

IBM released Granite Time Series PatchTST-FM-r2, a claimed state-of-the-art time series foundation model under a commercial-friendly license.

IBM Research announced the release of Granite Time Series PatchTST-FM-r2, published via the Hugging Face blog. The model is presented as state-of-the-art for time-series forecasting and is offered under a license permitting commercial use. No benchmark numbers or model size details were provided in the available text.

Hugging Face Blog · 6d agoModel release

Evaluating Time-Series Foundation Models and Multimodal Dietary Context for CGM Forecasting

Study finds zero-shot time-series foundation models underperform on CGM forecasting; fine-tuned Chronos-Bolt cuts RMSE up to 18.4% and dietary context adds signal.

The paper evaluates time-series foundation models for continuous glucose monitoring forecasting across eight public datasets covering Type 1 diabetes, Type 2 diabetes, and non-diabetes populations. Under a unified protocol, zero-shot foundation models did not consistently outperform baselines like Elastic Net and PatchTST, but lightweight fine-tuning did, with fine-tuned Chronos-Bolt reducing RMSE by 6.5%-18.4% in the T1D cohort and 8.6%-18.2% in the non-diabetes/T2D cohort. A residual-based fusion framework adding dietary context from CGMacros reduced overall RMSE by about 3% and postprandial RMSE by about 15% versus CGM-only baselines.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL · 5d agoAI research