Talos Q3 2026 IR trends: help-desk vishing and rising ransomware
Original title: IR trends Q3 2026: Actors impersonate IT help desks in vishing attacks as ransomware activity increases
Phishing led initial access in just over one-third of engagements, down from over 50 percent, while ransomware rose to 27 percent.
Cisco Talos says phishing was the top initial-access method in slightly over one-third of Q3 2026 engagements, down from over half last quarter. Attackers combined voice phishing and fake IT help desks to get victims to approve legitimate remote-management tools. Public-facing edge devices accounted for about one-third of cases. Ransomware activity rose to 27 percent, and Salt Typhoon-linked telecom intrusions exploited CVE-2023-20198 and deployed the BadCandy web shell.
Unconfirmed: Talos attributes most telecom cases to China-sponsored actors, including Salt Typhoon, with high confidence; VYPR's immaturity is Talos's assessment.
- Named strains included The Gentlemen, Qilin, Rhysida, Interlock, and immature variant VYPR.
- Actors disabled EDR, often through vulnerable drivers or Windows Defender Application Control.
- One insider hired under false credentials installed GitHub Copilot CLI and Claude Code.
- A trojanized macOS app scraped keychain credentials tied to Claude Code.
- Telecom victims lacked MFA and used plaintext SNMP and outdated VPN encryption.
Impact: initial access, espionage persistence, credential theft, and ransomware
- 1.Require MFA and tighten credential management, including accounts for AI tools.
- 2.Check exposed web management interfaces for exploitation of CVE-2023-20198.
- CVEs
- CVE-2023-20198
- ATT&CK
- T1566.004 Spearphishing VoiceT1219 Remote Access SoftwareT1190 Exploit Public-Facing ApplicationT1078 Valid AccountsT1505.003 Web Shell
- Products
- Claude CodeGitHub Copilot CLI
- Threat actors
- Salt TyphoonInterlock
- Countries
- China
Vulnerabilities mentioned
All| CVE | Vulnerability | CVSS | EPSS | Signals | Published |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVE-2023-20198 | Unauthenticated Privilege Escalation in Cisco IOS XE Web UI (Actively Exploited) | 10.0 | 100% | KEV | KEV |
From the original article
12 min read at blog.talosintelligence.com
Phishing remained the leading initial access technique, while percentage of ransomware and pre-ransomware cases increased. Finance and public administration tied as the top-targeted industries.
By Aliza Johnson · blog.talosintelligence.com
A short excerpt; the article and its images belong to the publisher. Summary, key facts and assessment above are AI-written from the article and can be wrong.