They do think AI might kill everyone

Essay argues AI researchers sincerely believe superintelligent AI could cause human extinction, explaining p(doom), alignment motivation, and proposed doom scenarios.

An essay prompted by an Anthropic researcher's resignation tweet argues that many AI researchers genuinely assign a meaningful probability that superintelligent AI could end humanity, a belief the community has discussed since Eliezer Yudkowsky's writings around 2008 and summarized as 'p(doom)' since roughly 2010. It outlines concrete extinction scenarios, including AI-engineered pathogens, triggering thermonuclear war, robotic takeover, and self-replicating nanotechnology, and frames alignment research as the response. The author rebuts common counterarguments such as shutting the AI down or government nationalization of labs, and notes researchers see aligned superintelligence as humanity's best path to survival.