MARL detector repairs adversarial attacks in energy forecasting
Original title: Detect, Repair and Audit: A Hierarchical Multi-Agent Defense Against Adversarial Attacks in Energy Forecasting
MARL detector and signal repair achieve F1 score above 0.91 and reduce error by up to 83% with low latency.
Accurate electricity-demand forecasting is essential for modern energy infrastructure. TS-LLMs are vulnerable to compromised sensor inputs that can distort forecasts and lead to erroneous market orders or unnecessary load shedding. We extract from major energy standards a three-layer conceptual model that captures the security postures for each layer. Guided by this model, we develop a Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning (MARL) detector coupled with signal repair at local control centers, designed to mitigate distributional data drift through complementary feature-based detection and clean-reference-calibrated repair while meeting latency budgets. We further deploy an evidence-grounded LLM auditing agent with human-in-the-loop validation for audit-critical Virtual Power Plants (VPPs). In our evaluation, the best MARL configuration achieves an F1 score above 0.91 across all dataset-attack pairs, while signal repair reduces adversarial-to-clean input Relative Squared Error (RSE) by up to 83%. The few-shot auditor detects 77.78% of attacks in the Sherlock dataset. On the evaluated hardware, detection and repair require 7.95 ms on average, with a worst-observed latency of 14.50 ms.
- F1 score above 0.91
- RSE reduction up to 83%
- 7.95 ms average detection and repair
- 77.78% attack detection by auditor
Impact: distorted electricity-demand forecasts leading to erroneous market orders
- 1.deploy MARL configurations
- 2.implement LLM auditing agents
- Organizations
- IEEE
From the original article
1 min read at arxiv.orgAccurate electricity-demand forecasting is essential for the modern energy infrastructure. Recently, Times-Series Large Language Models (TS-LLMs) have emerged as a promising approach to forecasting more accurate demand from historical consumption data in zero- and few-shot settings, helping energy operators effectively plan supply and allocate energy resources.
By Zewei Shi · arxiv.org
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