Search: “mag”

Cyberattack on UK Airport Operator MAG Exposes Data of 8.7 Million Customers Across Three Airports

Manchester Airports Group breach exposed email addresses, phone numbers and vehicle registrations of about 8.7 million customers across three UK airports.

Manchester Airports Group (MAG) disclosed that an unauthorized third party accessed customer data for roughly 8.7 million people across Manchester, London Stansted and East Midlands airports. Exposed data covers car park, lounge and fast-track bookings and Wi-Fi sign-ups, including email addresses, phone numbers, vehicle registration numbers and postcodes; no bank or payment details were stored and no flight operations were disrupted. MAG learned of the incident on August 25 after attackers breached the system over the weekend, contained it, hired external security experts and suspended its Manage My Booking service as a precaution. The breach lands during peak summer travel and adds pressure on UK infrastructure operators after recent incidents at Jaguar Land Rover, M&S, Harrods, Co-op and a UK power plant.

Security Affairs·Aug 28, 07:57 UTC · 19d agoData breach

Necessary or Sufficient? Evaluating LLM Explanations With Behavioural Evidence

New framework tests whether LLM-cited explanation factors are necessary or sufficient, finding weak correlation across Claude, GPT, and Gemini models.

An arXiv paper introduces black-box intervention tests measuring whether factors LLMs cite in their explanations are necessary or sufficient for their outputs in agent oversight workflows. Across eight models from the Claude, GPT, and Gemini families, Spearman correlations between cited rankings and measured influence ranged from 0.349-0.354 (advisor recommendation) to 0.431-0.580 (prompt monitoring). Uncited factors scored above the lowest cited factor in up to 57.6% of advisor responses, showing cited top-three factors do not reliably identify the most influential inputs.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL·Sep 4, 17:37 UTC · 12d agoAI safety & security1

Crooks Behind Manchester Airports Group Hack Leaked Data of 8.8 Million People

FulcrumSec leaked about 550 GB of Manchester Airports Group data, exposing emails, phones and vehicle registrations of roughly 8.8 million people after a refused ransom.

Manchester Airports Group, operator of Manchester, London Stansted and East Midlands airports, confirmed a breach of a third-party database after extortion group FulcrumSec leaked roughly 550 GB of data. The exposed data includes about 8.8 million email addresses and phone numbers, 108,077 vehicle registration plates, 2.48 million purchases and 1.16 billion email events, with no payment-card data accessed. FulcrumSec claims it gained access using Iterable admin keys hardcoded in the frontend JavaScript of all three airport websites, a claim MAG has not confirmed. Have I Been Pwned added the incident to its breach database.

Security Affairs·Sep 4, 19:37 UTC · 12d agoData breach

The Semantic Bottleneck: Leveraging Semantic Representations for Non-Invasive Speech Decoding

Researchers introduced Brain2Semantics2Text, decoding sentence meaning from non-invasive MEG brain recordings via a semantic bottleneck, improving on prior Brain2Text methods.

The paper proposes Brain2Semantics2Text, a non-invasive speech decoding method that maps sentence-level magnetoencephalography (MEG) responses into a semantic embedding space and inverts those embeddings into natural language. Motivated by evidence that high-level semantic representations are distributed across cortex and evolve on slower timescales, the approach targets meaning rather than phonemes or words, avoiding the need for word-level alignment. The authors report improved sentence-level results compared to prior non-invasive Brain2Text methods despite the low signal-to-noise ratio of neural recordings.

Hugging Face daily papers·Sep 8, 20:00 UTC · 8d agoAI research2

Extortion Group FulcrumSec Claims 86GB Manchester Airports Data Theft

Extortion group FulcrumSec claims stealing 86GB of Manchester Airports Group data, exposing 8.7 million customers' personal and booking details.

Manchester Airports Group disclosed a breach on August 27 affecting parking, lounge, Fast Track and WiFi registrations at Manchester, London Stansted and East Midlands airports, impacting 8.7 million customers, most exposed only email addresses. FulcrumSec claims it stole about 86GB via airport-specific Iterable API credentials exposed in client-side JavaScript, including a 21.5GB Manchester export with booking histories, marketing data and nearly 200,000 records on upcoming 2026 travel. BleepingComputer verified sample records against a real traveler's Fast Track history; MAG declined to address the group's specific claims. Researchers warn the combination of UK postcodes, vehicle registrations and booking details could enable convincing targeted phishing, and MAG says no payment card or banking data was exposed.

Security Affairs·Aug 30, 17:23 UTC · 17d agoData breach in the wild

Reporting Practice Matters: The Impact of Reference Choice on Chest X-ray Report Evaluation

Study shows radiology reporting-style variations in reference reports can flip rankings of chest X-ray report generation models; releases MIMIC-CXR-Ext-ReRef dataset.

The paper quantifies how variations in radiologists' reporting practices distort evaluation of radiology report generation (RRG) models, introducing a radiologist-informed taxonomy and the ReRef method for rewriting reference reports while preserving clinical meaning. On MIMIC-CXR with RadCliQ-v1, condensing normal-findings discussion caused Libra to drop from first to second while CheXOne rose from third to first among nine models. The authors release MIMIC-CXR-Ext-ReRef, a radiologist-validated dataset of 120 original/alternative reference pairs, arguing metrics conflate clinical correctness with stylistic conformity.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL·Sep 16, 17:28 UTC · 11h agoAI research

Berlin Refuses to Pay Hackers Who Stole Data From the City's State Network

Berlin refuses ransom demands after Rhysida claimed stealing 5.79 TB from the city-state network, including mobility department data on 12,076 individuals.

Berlin's state government confirmed an extortion attempt following the August compromise of its state administrative network and said it will not pay. Forensics found data exfiltrated from the Senate Department for Mobility, Transport, Climate Protection and Environment between August 7 and 12, 2026; Rhysida's leak site claims 5.79 TB, 1.44 million files, and personal data on 12,076 individuals. State criminal police, prosecutors, and federal authorities are investigating, and officials say the September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election environment remains unaffected. Separately, Manchester Airports Group confirmed theft of customer data including emails, phone numbers, and vehicle registrations across three airports.

The Hacker News·Aug 28, 21:30 UTC · 19d agoRansomware in the wildCVE-2020-1472

Technical Manual for a Toolkit for Measuring Contextual Individuation in Transformer Language Models

An open methodology toolkit measures whether transformer language models contextualize fixed word forms across domains using bridge forms and layer-wise silhouette analysis.

The manual documents an open toolkit built around 'bridge forms' - identical written words recurring across two or more subject domains with a different sense in each - to test whether transformer language models individuate word occurrences by context beyond the embedding layer. It covers declarative specification of bridge forms, Wikipedia corpus acquisition, occurrence localization, layer-wise representation extraction, domain-pairwise silhouette measurement, and visualization, justifying each choice against failure modes such as sense contamination and subword-tokenization misalignment. It is a methodological and implementation reference and reports no empirical results.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL·Sep 4, 16:38 UTC · 12d agoAI research

FulcrumSec Claims Responsibility for Manchester Airport Group Breach

FulcrumSec leaked ~549GB of Manchester Airport Group data, claiming 8.7M customer profiles exposed via exposed Iterable admin keys.

FulcrumSec posted around 549GB of uncompressed stolen Manchester Airport Group (MAG) data on its leak site, claiming nearly 8.7 million customer profiles with email, name, phone, home town, postcode and residential IP. The group said initial access came from Iterable platform admin keys exposed in the root-domain JavaScript of the Manchester, Stansted and East Midlands airport websites. Allegedly stolen data also includes ~1.2 billion marketing events, 2.5 million bookings, 461,000 SMS records, 108,000 vehicle plates and ~191,000 future bookings. MAG has provided no update since August 27 and the claims remain unverified.

Infosecurity Magazine·Sep 2, 08:15 UTC · 14d agoData breach

Molecular Déjà Vu: Digit-Level Retrieval of Published Values in Frontier Language Models

Audit of 22 frontier models finds widespread verbatim retrieval of published molecular property values, with higher reasoning increasing recall of memorized numbers.

An arXiv audit tests 22 frontier LLMs across 12 molecular regression benchmarks for verbatim retrieval of published values. More than 50% of the LLMs show verbatim retrieval on five datasets, and identical experiments are flagged 89% more often at a high reasoning level than at the lowest one. Suppressing retrieval moves model prediction errors closer together in relative terms, suggesting predictive capability is not determined solely by memorized values.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL·Sep 4, 17:32 UTC · 12d agoAI research1

Cyberattack on Manchester Airports Group exposes data of 8.7 million customers

Manchester Airports Group reported a cyberattack exposing booking data of about 8.7 million customers across three English airports.

Manchester Airports Group (MAG), operator of Manchester, London Stansted, and East Midlands airports, disclosed that an unauthorized third party accessed customer data linked to car park, lounge, Fast Track bookings, and Wi-Fi sign-ups. The compromised data includes email addresses, phone numbers, vehicle registrations, and postcodes; no payment or banking details were exposed. The airports handled over 65 million passengers last year, and MAG has suspended its online Manage My Booking service as a precaution. MAG warned affected customers to watch for phishing attempts.

The Record·Aug 27, 13:18 UTC · 20d agoData breach

Enhancing Accessibility of Medical Texts through Large Language Model-Driven Plain Language Adaptation

Study shows LLMs with Mixture-of-Agents and QLoRA finetuning effectively simplify medical texts into plain language while preserving content.

The paper evaluates Plain Language Adaptation (PLA) using GPT-4o-mini, Gemini-1.5-pro, and LLaMA in zero-shot and few-shot settings. It compares prompting strategies, QLoRA finetuning across models, and integrates Mixture-of-Agents (MoA) techniques for robustness. Results demonstrate LLM-driven PLA makes healthcare texts more comprehensible while retaining essential content.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL·Sep 15, 16:33 UTC · 1d agoAI research

Manchester Airports Group breached, millions of customers’ data stolen

Manchester Airports Group confirmed attackers stole customer booking and WiFi signup data affecting about 8.7 million customers across three UK airports.

Manchester Airports Group (MAG) confirmed an unauthorized third party obtained customer data tied to car park, lounge and Fast Track bookings and WiFi sign-ups at Manchester, Stansted and East Midlands airports. Stolen data includes email addresses, phone numbers, vehicle registrations and postcodes; no payment or banking details were held in the affected systems. UK media reported roughly 8.7 million customers affected. The Manage My Booking portal was disabled as a precaution, authorities were informed, and airport operations were not disrupted.

Help Net Security·Aug 31, 05:28 UTC · 16d agoData breach in the wild

Engineered Persuasion: Evaluating Personalized Pretexts in LLM-Generated Spear Phishing

A study of 180 US workers found each LLM phishing personalization level raised click-intention odds by 28%, but credibility depends on context fit.

The arXiv paper evaluates how personalized pretexts in LLM-generated spear phishing affect perceived credibility, using 180 US working adults across 1,436 evaluations of emails with four cumulative personalization levels, from workplace context to shared-project details. Convincingness rose 2.40 points per level in sensitivity analysis and click-intention odds increased 28% per level, while non-clickers shifted toward deleting rather than reporting. Qualitative coding showed details matching the recipient's role and routines supported credibility, whereas incorrect, vague, or channel-inappropriate details raised suspicion. The authors argue personalization effectiveness depends on pretext fit, with implications for workplace security training.

arXiv cs.CR·Sep 3, 19:21 UTC · 13d agoResearch

Week in review: Compromised Zimbra servers, previously patched Citrix NetScaler flaw exploited

Help Net Security's weekly digest highlights 274 compromised Zimbra servers, Gitea and Citrix NetScaler KEV additions, a PaperCut zero-day, and a suspected Iran-linked power plant attack.

The roundup reports at least 274 internet-facing Zimbra instances compromised via CVE-2026-73570, critical Gitea CVE-2026-60004 added to CISA's KEV catalog after exploitation began, and previously patched Citrix NetScaler flaw CVE-2026-8452 exploited in the wild. It also covers PaperCut NG/MF zero-day attacks, a suspected Iran-linked shutdown of a UK power plant, an FBI seizure of domains tied to a China-linked group that hit NASA, DOJ and the Senate, a cyberattack disrupting Boston Scientific, and the Manchester Airports Group breach. Additional items include Chameleon SEO poisoning phishing, Android car head unit proxy botnet malware, ReliaQuest social engineering by ShinyHunters, fake OpenAI Codex macOS malware, and AI-related workforce and supply chain interviews.

Help Net Security·Aug 30, 00:00 UTC · 18d agoIndustry in the wildCVE-2026-73570CVE-2026-60004CVE-2026-8452

The 2026 PNPL Competition: Word Classification and Efficient Cross-Subject Generalisation in LibriBrain100

The 2026 PNPL competition releases LibriBrain100, a MEG speech dataset with 32 extra subjects, targeting word classification and cross-subject BCI generalization.

The 2025 PNPL competition on non-invasive speech decoding from MEG achieved F1-macro scores of 95.6% for speech detection and 73.6% for phoneme classification, built on LibriBrain's ~50 hours of single-subject data. The 2026 edition extends this with LibriBrain100, adding 32 subjects (~40 minutes each) plus ~80 hours of within-subject data. Two tracks target within-subject word classification at scale and cross-subject generalization with subject-specific fine-tuning shrinking from ~40 to ~20 to ~10 minutes, aiming at clinically feasible non-invasive BCIs for people with profound paralysis.

Hugging Face daily papers·Sep 2, 20:00 UTC · 14d agoAI research

Meta’s new One subscriptions put a price on social media and AI

Meta's new One subscription tiers pair app perks with more Meta AI usage, from $2.99 single apps to $499 monthly business Max plan.

The Verge reports Meta's Meta One subscription bundles are now globally available, following the launch of its Muse AI assistant. Individual bundles include Core at $7.99/month and Premium at $19.99/month, combining Instagram Plus, WhatsApp Plus, and Facebook Plus with expanded Meta AI media generation including Muse images and Instagram's Restyle, cheaper than $11/month for all three standalone subscriptions. Creator and business plans span Essential ($14.99/month) to Expert ($149/month) and Max ($499/month), adding verification badges, impersonation protection, and Meta Business Agent capacity.

The Verge · AI·Sep 15, 15:00 UTC · 1d agoAI industry

When LLM judges agree, should we believe them?

Amazon ICML paper uses Ising models to correct correlated LLM-judge votes, beating accuracy-weighted panels by 9-14%.

Amazon Science describes an ICML paper, "Dependence-aware label aggregation for LLM-as-a-judge via Ising models," addressing how correlated judge outputs inflate majority-vote confidence. The unsupervised method models pairwise dependence between judges, learning both reliability and similarity without human reference labels. Tested on relevance, toxicity, and summarization tasks with 10 judge models at temperature zero, it outperformed accuracy-weighted voting by 9% to 14%.

Hacker News · AI·Sep 14, 16:29 UTC · 2d agoAI researchHN 41↑ · 23 comments

Read the Apple document explaining how new listening features still protect your privacy

Apple published a document explaining its new Audio Intelligence features process audio in a hardware-isolated Secure Exclave inaccessible to Apple, apps, or the OS.

Apple released a privacy document alongside the Siri AI Audio Intelligence features announced at its iPhone event, covering Siri Recap, Live Rewind, Sound Recognition, and Music Recognition. It states microphone audio is processed in the Secure Exclave of the S11 chip in Apple Watch Series 12 and Apple Watch Ultra 4, is never saved as a file, and cannot be accessed by watchOS, apps, the user, or Apple. Transfers between watch and iPhone are encrypted between Secure Exclaves, and transcripts sync end-to-end encrypted when a device passcode and iCloud two-factor authentication are enabled.

The Verge · AI·Sep 9, 20:44 UTC · 7d agoAI industry

From Parameters to Answers: How LLMs Retrieve and Use Their Internal Knowledge

Interpretability study traces how Qwen, Llama, and Gemma route query information and internal knowledge across layers when answering questions.

Researchers used layerwise interventions on hidden states to separate query-routing signals from target knowledge in language models, testing Qwen, Llama, and Gemma on country-continent questions with varied answer types. A pair-conditioned request direction strengthens before interventions alter downstream knowledge, opening a causal window while answer-supporting content is still forming. Trajectories differ by model: Gemma shows a partially overlapping mid-layer routing profile, while Llama has no sustained routing-effect window under the same gates.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL·Sep 10, 17:39 UTC · 6d agoAI research1

Weekly Update 521: Breach Perception v. Reality

Troy Hunt's weekly update argues AI's hacking role is overstated, citing exposed keys and human error behind recent breach headlines.

Troy Hunt's Weekly Update 521 argues that media coverage exaggerates AI as a hacking tool. He cites data showing AI has had roughly 0% impact on cyber insurance payouts, a MAG breach teardown attributing the incident to exposed keys rather than sophistication, and a Dutch suspect being tracked via his voice. He also notes an Australian headline claiming ChatGPT hacked a court system was actually a man who used ChatGPT to write a web scraper pointed at a website.

Troy Hunt·Sep 11, 20:37 UTC · 5d agoIndustry

Why metaphor may dictate your security strategy

Cisco Talos·Aug 6, 18:00 UTC · Aug 6, 2026Vulnerability1

You Can't Prefer Emotions You Don't Sample: Intensity Undershoot in DPO-Tuned LLMs

Study quantifies DPO-tuned LLMs undershooting requested emotional intensity, tracing the gap to candidate-pool extremity rather than conditioning format.

Conditioning an instruction-tuned LLM on continuous valence-arousal targets yields gain of only 0.26 for valence and 0.13 for arousal on Llama-3.1-8B, far below faithful control of 1.0. The authors attribute undershoot to neutral-heavy preference corpora like EmoBank and candidate pools lacking extreme affect, leaving DPO without extreme exemplars. Uniform target coverage with a hotter candidate pool raises valence gain to 0.40 on Llama-3.1-8B and 0.44 on Qwen3-8B, with modest in-distribution cost; arousal gains remain unstable across seeds.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL·Sep 7, 17:47 UTC · 9d agoAI research

Update modules/auxiliary/scanner/http/elasticsearch_tika_xfa_xxe.rb

Rapid7 updated a Metasploit auxiliary scanner module that detects XML external entity injection in Elasticsearch via Apache Tika.

A commit in the Metasploit Framework updated modules/auxiliary/scanner/http/elasticsearch_tika_xfa_xxe.rb, an auxiliary scanner module. The module targets XML external entity (XXE) injection in Elasticsearch through Apache Tika, and was co-authored by jheysel-r7. The terse commit message contains no additional details, CVE references, or exploitation notes.

Metasploit Framework commits·Sep 8, 19:22 UTC · 8d agoTools

Breaking the 1.58-bit Barrier for Ternary LLMs

An arXiv paper claims a method that breaks the 1.58-bit barrier for ternary large language models.

The arXiv preprint 2609.16338, titled 'Breaking the 1.58-bit Barrier for Ternary LLMs,' presents research on ternary-weight large language models, which use roughly 1.58 bits per weight. The source text contained only the title and Hacker News engagement data (56 points, no comments), so further technical details are not available.

Hacker News · AI·Sep 16, 20:59 UTC · 8h agoAI researchHN 56↑ · 0 comments

The Model Proposes, the Code Disposes: A Pre-Registered Ablation of a Verifier-and-Acceptance Stage in an LLM-Orchestrated Offensive-Security Agent

Pre-registered ablation finds a model verifier stage in an LLM offensive-security agent suppresses findings; removing it eliminated suppression with precision tradeoff.

The paper evaluates a verifier-and-acceptance stage in an LLM-orchestrated offensive-security agent via a pre-registered 20-run confirmatory ablation and a 2x2 factorial study with 40 runs on vulnerable lab targets. Removing the stage eliminated pre-report suppression (median 2 vs 0 findings, p = 0.00003) but reduced model-blinded shipped precision (0.471 vs 0.353, p = 0.0087). Suppression was attributed to the model verifier rather than deterministic acceptance rules, and an instrumented canary recorded zero external contacts in all 60 runs. The full design retained 93.8% of model-adjudicated true candidates but failed its pre-registered non-inferiority floor of 0.90.

arXiv cs.CR·Sep 14, 17:13 UTC · 2d agoResearch

When the prompt becomes the payload: A practical pen-testing guide for GenAI, LLM and RAG applications

CSO Online publishes a practical penetration-testing guide for GenAI, LLM, and RAG applications, covering prompt injection, retrieval poisoning, and tenant isolation testing.

The guide frames LLM applications as attack graphs spanning prompts, retrieval layers, vector stores, tools, identities, and downstream APIs, arguing that conventional web testing misses instruction-vs-data channel risks. It builds on OWASP prompt injection guidance (direct vs. indirect injection) and NIST's 2025 adversarial machine-learning taxonomy, noting that RAG and fine-tuning do not remove injection risk. Recommended practices include documenting trust transitions across components, using canaries and synthetic records to avoid test side effects, running multi-turn and obfuscated injection campaigns, and verifying chains from poisoned documents to observable state changes. It also details testing RAG pipelines via controlled document poisoning across metadata, OCR layers, and code comments, plus cross-tenant isolation checks on retrieved document IDs.

CSO Online·Sep 9, 10:00 UTC · 7d agoAI safety & security1

When Should LLMs Abstain? Chain-of-Self-Questioning for Selective Risk Control

Chain-of-Self-Questioning prompting cuts LLM wrong-answer commitments 32% relative while raising answered accuracy, holding across eleven model families.

The paper introduces Chain-of-Self-Questioning (CoSQ), a prompt-only framework that makes LLM answer commitment conditional on an explicit assessment of the information required to answer. On an 817-item TruthfulQA multiple-choice set, Grounded-CoSQ at τ=0.90 reduced mean unconditional wrong-commitment rate from 13.1% under chain-of-thought to 8.9% (a 32.1% relative reduction), while raising answered accuracy from 86.9% to 89.7% at 87.6% coverage. Improvements held across eleven open-weight and hosted model families and at every evaluated threshold, with convergent evidence from a Natural Questions short-answer evaluation.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL·Sep 15, 17:52 UTC · 1d agoAI research

PARSER: Read in Parallel, Reason in Depth for Long-Context LLM Agents

PARSER uses parallel reader subagents and an RL-trained lead agent for long-context QA, beating baselines and cutting latency up to 11x.

The PARSER paper decouples reading from reasoning: frozen subagents each read one document chunk in parallel while an RL-optimized lead agent iteratively broadcasts queries and aggregates evidence in scatter-gather rounds. On multi-hop QA with 7K to 896K token contexts, a 4B-backbone PARSER beats the strongest sequential memory baseline by 5.7 points on average and 12.0 points at 896K tokens, and a 9B version surpasses DeepSeek-V4-Pro by 6.3 points. Controlled experiments show robustness to evidence position, order, and distance perturbations, with inference latency reduced by up to 11x.

Hugging Face daily papers·Sep 5, 20:00 UTC · 11d agoAI research1

Re: AI slops from Eve

Jeroen Roovers links a header-less LLM-generated advisory to a similar fake llama.cpp GGUF parser advisory from May 2026.

In the 'AI slops from Eve' oss-security thread, Jeroen Roovers asks whether a current LLM-generated message without a Date header comes from the same source as a May 15, 2026 posting titled 'Security Advisory: Multiple Vulnerabilities in llama.cpp GGUF Format Parsers'. Both fake advisories share the missing Date header trait. The exchange highlights growing LLM-generated noise on security mailing lists.

oss-security·updated Sep 13, 15:08 UTC · 3d ago·first Sep 13, 14:51 UTC · 3d agoIndustry 11 sources

LLM Agents as Computational Typologists

AUTOTYPOLOGIST is an LLM agent that performs evidence-grounded linguistic typology analysis over 25 open-source reference grammars.

The agent retrieves relevant grammar sections, analyzes interlinear glossed text (IGT), and iteratively reasons over typological hypotheses in a ReAct-style workflow. It was evaluated on typological feature coding against expert annotations and hypothesis testing against universals using 25 open-source reference grammars. Results suggest LLM agents can support scalable, inspectable crosslinguistic analysis but still require expert validation.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL·Sep 7, 17:35 UTC · 9d agoAI research1

Google's new AI model predicts the future from sales data, weather, and discount schedules

Google Research released TimesFM-3, a 330M-parameter multivariate time series forecasting model that tops Gift-Eval, FEV-Bench, and Time benchmarks and is on Hugging Face.

Google Research released TimesFM-3, a 330-million-parameter Transformer-based time series forecasting model trained on more than one trillion real and synthetic data points. It works zero-shot and adds multivariate support, ingesting related series, historical-only covariates, and known future events such as discount schedules and weather forecasts, while filling all future time steps in a single one-shot pass. Google reports first place among pretrained forecasting models on Gift-Eval, FEV-Bench, and Time, ahead of Amazon's Chronos-2, the Toto-2.0 family, and its own TimesFM-2.5. Weights are available on GitHub and Hugging Face, with BigQuery integration planned in the coming weeks.

The Decoder·Sep 12, 09:26 UTC · 4d agoModel release2

Claude Fable 5.1's language is less "load-bearing" than its predecessor's

Arena.ai found Claude Fable 5.1 writes 30% longer answers with fewer em dashes, hedges, and validation phrases than Fable 5.

Arena.ai compared tens of thousands of high-reasoning Text Arena outputs from Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 and Fable 5.1. Fable 5.1's median answer length rose 30% to 414 words (from 319), remaining 21% shorter than Opus 5's 525. Em-dash usage fell from 16.2 to 11.0 per 1,000 words while semicolons rose to 6.09, hedges like 'perhaps' and 'arguably' dropped 36%, and praise appeared in 1.98% of responses versus 3.17%. Long content words fell from 42.6% to 38.6% and abstract nouns declined 25%, suggesting the successor's language is less 'load-bearing'.

The Decoder·Sep 10, 15:26 UTC · 6d agoAI research1

Does Syntax Matter? A Graph-Augmented Variational Topic Model for Computational Social Sciences

SCPTM graph-augmented variational topic model shows syntax aids topic diversity and descriptor quality but gains stem mainly from the variational encoder.

The Structural Contextual Probabilistic Topic Model represents corpora as heterogeneous document-word graphs with lexical and syntactic edges processed by a Graph Attention Network inside a VAE for mixed-membership topic distributions. Across four corpora, neural gains in document-topic alignment are attributable to the variational encoder rather than syntax, while graph-augmented variants improve topic diversity everywhere. Dependency paths add value on argumentative deliberative texts but are redundant in technical and institutional registers.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL·Sep 7, 17:39 UTC · 9d agoAI research1

Objective vs. Search: Decomposing What Makes a Good Tokeniser

New tokeniser study shows search procedure, not optimisation objective, drives bits-per-byte performance across model sizes, vocabulary sizes, and multilingual settings.

The paper disentangles BPE and UnigramLM along two axes: optimisation objective (compression vs log-likelihood) and search procedure (bottom-up merging vs top-down pruning). Two new algorithms, BottomUpLL and TopDownComp, complete the 2x2 design space, and trained language models are evaluated on bits-per-byte and BLiMP across model sizes, vocabulary sizes, and English-only vs multilingual domains. Bottom-up tokenisers consistently achieve lower bits-per-byte in most settings, while BLiMP shows no consistent relationship with design choice.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL·Sep 16, 17:59 UTC · 11h agoAI research

Before You Poll with LLMs: A Deliberative Diagnostic Framework

Deliberative diagnostic shows all five tested frontier LLMs misrepresent human belief shifts after arguments, with GPT-5.1 reversing on outgroup questions.

The Deliberative Polling Diagnostic Framework compares human and LLM persona belief shifts after identical informational interventions, using data from America in One Room (526 personas, 72 questions). All five frontier models tested failed uniquely: GPT-5.1 exhibited partisan reversal (80% on outgroup vs 26% on policy questions), Gemini 2.0 Flash, Claude Sonnet 4.5 and Llama 3.3 70B overshot at 5-7x human magnitude, and DeepSeek V3 showed near-zero change (rigidity). The authors term the underlying signature 'self-sycophancy', conformity to the model's internal persona stereotype rather than reasoning from provided information.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL·Sep 14, 16:41 UTC · 2d agoAI research

How Fragile Is Safety Alignment at Frontier Scale? A Single-Direction Attack on a 320B MoE

Researchers show directional ablation breaks refusal in GLM-5.3-Flash, a 320B-parameter MoE, cutting refusal by 41–89 points across seven benchmarks.

The study extends directional ablation, a white-box attack that removes an aligned LLM's refusal behavior, from dense models up to ~70B parameters to GLM-5.3-Flash, a 320B-parameter mixture-of-experts model with 288 routed experts, four-wide hyper-connection residual, and block-FP8 quantization. Editing attention, dense, and routed-expert writers jointly removes 0.776 of refusal, with 74% of the effect existing only under the joint intervention; the conventional module-name-based recipe reaches only 0.066 and fails silently on MoE architectures. The attack yields 41–89 percentage-point reductions in refusal across seven harmful benchmarks with no detected capability change, and a category-concentrated refusal residue survives all edits at ranks 1 to 12.

arXiv cs.CR·Sep 9, 06:48 UTC · 7d agoAI safety & security

Right Tool, Right Job: Native-Language Evaluation, Tokenizer Sensitivity, and Methodological Findings from a French-Only BabyLM

French BabyLM entry METRON-FR (125M GPT-2, 92.47M words) shows tokenizer artifacts dominate child-scale zero-shot evaluation; proposes standard diagnostics.

METRON-FR is a 125M-parameter GPT-2 pretrained on 92.47M French words, submitted to the BabyLM 2026 Strict track, scoring 85.97% on the native Quebec-French QFrBLiMP benchmark and 62.80% on the BabyLM-weighted leaderboard. A cross-lingual GLUE protocol combining French task-data translation with rank-16 LoRA shows relational tasks gain while world-knowledge tasks regress. Bilingual Lexicon Induction reaches p@1 of 68.84%, 18x above chance, and ablations show single-token zero-shot scoring is dominated by tokenizer and template artifacts at child scale.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL·Sep 15, 16:43 UTC · 1d agoAI research

Generative Marketing Mix Modeling: A Causal Inference Framework Linking GEO and GEM to Business Impact

Paper proposes Generative Marketing Mix Modeling to causally estimate Generative Engine Optimization and Marketing effects on business outcomes.

The authors develop GMMM, a causal inference framework for measuring how often users see and notice a firm's name in generated answers, which standard marketing data ignore. For GEO it combines repeated generated answers with question counts, shares of generative-system usage and notice probabilities; for GEM it uses sponsored placement records with notice probabilities. The framework compares expected business responses under alternative treatment sequences, establishes identification conditions, and is evaluated on simulated product-recommendation answers in English and Japanese.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL·Sep 10, 17:57 UTC · 6d agoAI research

Verifiable by Construction: Claim-Level Evaluation of Verbatim Citation in Clinical Question Answering

Evaluation of twelve LLMs on 222 clinical questions shows verbatim quotes rarely substantiate claims; claude-opus-5 fully substantiates only 37.1%.

The authors build a standardized harness over four clinical practice guidelines and evaluate twelve LLMs on 222 synthetic clinical questions, measuring citation attachment, verbatim quote production, and claim substantiation. Most models attach verbatim quotes to over 90% of claims from prompting alone, though lightweight models like claude-haiku-4.5 struggle. Quotes frequently fail to substantiate claims: claude-opus-5 quotes 98.0% of claims but fully substantiates only 37.1%, exposing a capability gap for verifiable clinical QA.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL·Sep 14, 17:53 UTC · 2d agoAI research