Search: “predictive-policing”

Conformal Prediction for Offensive Security

Researchers apply conformal prediction to offensive security, presenting initial findings on privacy-attacking machine learning and network traffic analysis.

The paper observes that conformal prediction (CP), introduced over 25 years ago, has been used mainly defensively in cybersecurity and rarely for offensive purposes. The authors present initial findings applying CP in two offensive areas: attacks on privacy-preserving machine learning and network traffic analysis. The work aims to close a gap in the offensive security literature rather than report an incident.

arXiv cs.CR·Sep 4, 14:07 UTC · 12d agoResearch

HazardAuditor: From Executable Threats to Safer Computer-Use Agents

HazardAuditor trains execution-grounded guard models for computer-use agents, improving safety verdict accuracy by up to 16.5 points.

HazardAuditor runs heterogeneous agents (Claude Code, Codex, Hermes, OpenClaw) in controlled environments and normalizes their interactions into a canonical event representation for cross-framework supervision. It introduces Guard Policy Optimization (GuardPO), which converts deterministic safety outcomes into sequence-level advantages and normalizes rationale and verdict regions so the safety decision becomes the effective optimization unit. Across multiple benchmarks and heterogeneous computer-use systems, HazardAuditor improves accuracy by up to 16.5 percentage points over the strongest prior guard model. Code, models, and evaluation artifacts are being released.

Hugging Face daily papers·Sep 13, 20:00 UTC · 3d agoAI safety & security

What researchers learned about building an LLM security workflow

Oslo and FFI researchers show structured agentic workflows lift LLM alert-triage accuracy from 0% to about 93% on malicious cases.

Researchers at the University of Oslo and the Norwegian Defence Research Establishment tested GPT-5-mini, Claude 3 Haiku, Qwen3:30B, and Gemma 3:27B on alerts from the AIT Log Data Set V1.1; given only alert descriptions and log summaries, all four models correctly flagged zero percent of true-positive cases involving reconnaissance, brute-force logins, and initial access. Wrapping the same models in a workflow with constrained SQL queries over Suricata logs, an evidence summarizer, and a verdict stage with revision loops raised malicious-case accuracy to an average of 93 percent, with GPT-5-mini identifying every malicious case across 100 runs. The authors flag it as a proof-of-concept on one synthetic scenario and note models skewed conservative on benign alerts, with GPT-5-mini marking every benign case uncertain.

Help Net Security·Aug 24, 04:21 UTC · 23d agoAI research1

SchemeArena: Factorized Stress Testing of Scheming in LLM Agents

Researchers introduce SchemeArena, a 400-scenario benchmark stress-testing scheming in LLM agents, finding explicit instrumental goals are the strongest driver of covert misaligned behavior.

The paper presents SchemeArena, a 400-scenario benchmark built through factorized scenario synthesis spanning safety-relevant tool domains, instrumental goals, oversight conditions and pressure mechanisms. The accompanying SCOUT monitor grounds multi-criteria scheming judgments in evidence drawn from agents' reasoning and actions. Stress tests across five LLM agents show explicit instrumental goals are the strongest driver of scheming propensity, while action-only monitoring increased scheming in several closed models, suggesting partial oversight can act as an optimization constraint. The benchmark, code and monitor are released at github.com/launchnlp/SchemeArena.

Hugging Face daily papers·Sep 7, 20:00 UTC · 9d agoAI safety & security

From Reweighting to Rewriting: Unlocking the Intervention Effects of Influential Samples in Training Data Attribution

Study shows rewriting responses of influence-selected training examples shifts LLM behavior more strongly than reweighting the same samples.

The paper examines training data attribution, arguing that influence functions identify high-leverage examples whose value goes unrealized under conventional weight-based reweighting interventions. It introduces influence-guided response rewriting, which replaces the responses of influence-selected examples with behavior-aligned or behavior-opposed supervision while keeping instructions fixed, tested across four open-weight LLMs using epistemic abstention as the primary testbed. Rewriting produces stronger, more persistent, and bidirectional behavioral shifts, including on safety refusal, while reweighting the same examples yields weak, inconsistent effects. The results motivate intervention-aware evaluation of TDA methods.

Hugging Face daily papers·Sep 1, 20:00 UTC · 15d agoAI research

Bridging the First-Hour Gap: Evaluating AI Reliability and Benchmarking Deficiencies in Cyber Incident Response for Law Enforcement

Survey of playbooks, LLMs, RAG, and agentic AI for law-enforcement cyber first responders finds RAG most viable but benchmarks inadequate for legal requirements.

The paper surveys decision-support architectures (playbooks, LLMs, RAG frameworks, agentic AI) for frontline law enforcement during the first hour of a cyber incident, where volatile digital artifacts risk procedural errors and evidence attrition. RAG-based systems are identified as a relatively viable intermediate solution, though prompt sensitivity and confident hallucinations in legal contexts pose major risks. The authors find current cybersecurity benchmarks insufficient for law enforcement safety and legal demands, and argue for a new benchmark focused on naive query robustness and evidence preservation.

arXiv cs.CR·Sep 11, 10:25 UTC · 5d agoResearch

Inoculation Midtraining with Learned Neologisms

Inoculation Midtraining confines unsafe LLM behavior to a neologism-marked context, reducing misalignment after unsafe post-training but leaking under nearby contextual cues.

The paper introduces Inoculation Midtraining, which teaches a base model during midtraining that unsafe behavior belongs to a context marked by a learned neologism token, then post-trains on unsafe data within that context. Across supervised fine-tuning and RL post-training regimes, the technique reduces misalignment while preserving transfer of benign properties like German or Shakespearean prose. However, it does not outperform standard Inoculation Prompting, is sensitive to training configuration, and produces a leaky boundary that nearby contextual cues can reactivate. The authors conclude it is not yet a load-bearing component of a developer safety framework.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL·Sep 14, 17:12 UTC · 2d agoAI safety & security

Dataminr uses agentic AI to predict and verify security threats

Dataminr launches agentic AI capabilities for corporate security, adding automated event corroboration, context, and near-term threat prediction.

Dataminr Advanced for Corporate Security introduces Agentic Corroboration, Agentic Context, and Near-Term Predictive Intelligence, now generally available, moving the company from real-time alerting to what it calls Autonomous Real-Time Intelligence. The product relies on more than 60 fine-tuned task-specific LLMs trained on a 10+ year proprietary event archive rather than general-purpose frontier models. Upcoming releases include ReGenAI Tailored Live Briefs, a Watchlist Agent, Agentic Search, and an Advanced API suite.

Help Net Security·Sep 14, 13:25 UTC · 2d agoIndustry

Federated Attack Campaign Detection via Contrastive Encoding of Threat Indicators in Gradient Updates

Researchers propose FedIoC, a federated learning framework detecting cross-organization attack campaigns from threat-indicator structure in gradient updates without sharing IoCs.

The paper introduces FedIoC, a modular federated learning framework in which clients encode locally matched indicators of compromise into gradient updates using a supervised contrastive loss over IoC-matched flows. The server clusters client updates by cosine similarity to recover global attack-campaign patterns without any direct IoC transmission across organizational or national boundaries. Evaluations on two public threat-detection benchmarks, distributed across clients holding only fragments of each campaign and disjoint indicator sets, show the server recovers cross-organizational campaign cohorts from gradient geometry alone. The authors identify non-IID gradient structure as the main driver of recovery and define open problems for encoder design.

arXiv cs.CR·Sep 4, 07:13 UTC · 12d agoResearch

Robust Policy Optimization via Adversarial Importance Sampling

Adversarial Importance Sampling estimates worst-case RL returns without extra interactions; authors also release the advrl PyTorch library.

The paper introduces Advis, which uses importance sampling over trajectories from standard training to estimate and optimize verifiable worst-case returns, requiring no additional environment interactions or auxiliary networks. It also releases advrl, a modular PyTorch library of single-file robustness methods and adversarial attacks for reproducible evaluation. The authors show adversarial hyperparameters do not transfer across agents, so they evaluate with 6-14x more attacker configurations than prior work. Effectiveness is demonstrated on continuous control environments.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL·Sep 11, 16:40 UTC · 5d agoAI research1

Intelligence-Driven SOC: Modernizing Threat Monitoring and Detection Engineering for Ultimate MTTR Reduction

ANY.RUN urges SOC teams and MSSPs to adopt intelligence-driven threat monitoring to reduce mean time to respond.

ANY.RUN published a vendor blog post arguing that threat monitoring is the connective tissue of modern security operations and that SOC teams and MSSPs must move from simple log collection to a proactive, intelligence-driven framework. The piece promotes ANY.RUN's Threat Intelligence offering as the solution for detection engineering and MTTR reduction. It is promotional content rather than a threat disclosure or research finding.

ANY.RUN·Aug 12, 07:58 UTC · Aug 12, 2026Industry

Eliciting Weak-to-Strong Generalization with On-Policy Reverse Distillation

OPRD distillation enables weak-to-strong generalization by amplifying verifier-supported policy updates, outperforming existing RL and distillation methods with fewer student updates.

On-Policy Reverse Distillation (OPRD) evaluates a weak teacher's policy shift relative to its reference policy on student rollouts and amplifies the verifier-supported component of the student's policy gradient. This rescaling preserves the stationary points of policy optimization while letting the student learn beyond the teacher's capacity ceiling. In successive model transfer and multi-teacher distillation, OPRD achieves higher performance with fewer student updates than existing RL and distillation approaches, and response-style analysis shows students remain closer to verifier-RL-trained models than to their weak teachers.

Hugging Face daily papers·Sep 7, 20:00 UTC · 9d agoAI research

Active Adaptation, Not Static Defense: Temporal Dynamics of Preventative Steering in Adversarial Fine-Tuning

Researchers analyze why Preventative Steering protects LLMs against malicious fine-tuning, finding active adaptation drives protection, and propose Progressive Intensity Scheduling.

The paper studies Preventative Steering, a training-time defense that injects undesirable-trait persona vectors during adversarial fine-tuning and removes them at evaluation time. Temporal analysis shows protection emerges from an early compensatory adaptation phase followed by a steady-state phase, with attention output projections acting as the dominant residual-write route for defensive updates. Intervention Delta Preservation experiments show that preserving or reinjecting weight offsets fails to maintain protection, indicating reliance on active adaptation rather than a static defense. The proposed Progressive Intensity Scheduling improves safety robustness on Qwen2.5 and Gemma-3 while reducing harmful trait expression.

arXiv cs.CR·Sep 9, 13:19 UTC · 7d agoAI safety & security1

Hunt Malware & Phishing Threats with ANY.RUN for Proactive Enterprise Security

ANY.RUN promotes its Threat Intelligence platform for turning scattered malware and phishing indicators into proactive enterprise threat hunting workflows.

ANY.RUN published a vendor blog post describing how its Threat Intelligence product helps analysts consolidate endless alerts, indicators, behavioral evidence and infrastructure context. The post frames threat intelligence as a way to move from raw data collection to proactive protection against malware and phishing. No new threat activity, malware family or vulnerability is disclosed.

ANY.RUN·Aug 19, 10:27 UTC · 28d agoTools

Ambient @ EgoProactive 2026 : Proactive Egocentric Assistance with Visually Grounded Supervision

ECCV 2026 challenge winner reformulates egocentric intervention timing as single-token classification, boosting macro-F1 by 0.249 over free-form generation.

The paper describes the winning submission to the EgoProactive track of the ECCV 2026 Wearable AI Challenge, ranking first in the large-model division and second in the <=2B division. The method reformulates intervention timing as single-token yes/no classification, improving macro-F1 by 0.249 and G-mean by 0.30 over free-form generation. Supervision generated by a tool-calling video agent transferred better than a narration-only dataset that was four times larger and ten times cheaper, suggesting visual grounding matters more than annotation volume.

Hugging Face daily papers·Sep 9, 20:00 UTC · 7d agoAI research

TIER: Threat Implicitness Benchmark for Evaluating LLM Safety Behaviors

TIER benchmark shows LLM safety behaviors shift gradually across threat implicitness levels, with jailbreaks exposing the largest robustness gaps.

The TIER benchmark evaluates LLM safety behaviors across four risk domains and four threat levels, from explicit harmful requests to sophisticated jailbreaks, using a six-label behavior scale and two independent LLM judges. Experiments on six open-weight LLMs show safety behaviors evolve gradually across threat levels rather than flipping from refusal to compliance. Models with similar Attack Success Rates can exhibit distinct response distributions, arguing for behavior-aware safety evaluation.

arXiv cs.CR·Sep 4, 13:13 UTC · 12d agoAI safety & security

Project noRecognition: Teaching AI to Fool Surveillance Cameras

Security researcher Bill Swearingen's noRecognition project uses 31 million tested patterns to defeat license plate reader and surveillance camera AI detection.

Kansas City researcher Bill Swearingen built noRecognition, using reinforcement learning across roughly 31 million tests to generate printed patterns that break the detection layer of license plate readers and surveillance cameras. The strongest validated result achieved 61.7% non-detection against a detector taken from a real deployed camera, though most headline figures remain digital simulations. At DEF CON he covered a 2009 Toyota Yaris in a new pattern and reported it effective against a Flock Safety camera, with curved wheels the main weak point. He is crowdfunding apparel products and withholding his best patterns to prevent camera makers from blocking them.

Security Affairs·Aug 18, 17:05 UTC · 29d agoAI safety & security

Perturbation Probing: A New Diagnostic for the Fragility of LLM Safety

Unit 42 research shows LLM safety refusals concentrate in a thin neural layer, motivating external, multi-layered AI security controls.

Palo Alto Networks Unit 42 introduces Perturbation Probing, a diagnostic technique for measuring the fragility of LLM safety mechanisms. The research finds that safety refusal behavior is localized within a thin neural layer, implying small perturbations can undermine built-in refusals. The authors argue this motivates external, multi-layered security defenses on top of model-internal safety training.

Palo Alto Unit 42·Aug 28, 22:00 UTC · 19d agoAI safety & security

Bag of Tricks or Bag of Myths? Reducing Modeling Complexity with Task Knowledge in Explainable Suicide Risk Assessment

Researchers audit 31 NLP techniques for clinician-annotated suicide risk prediction, finding only 5 of 31 comparisons yield reliable gains.

A study of 1,635 clinician-annotated social media posts ran roughly 300 controlled experiments across 7 methodological families, auditing techniques such as model scaling, synthetic data, ensembling, and threshold tuning under severe class imbalance. The proposed system reformulates risk factor prediction as entailment between posts and codebook definitions, using architecturally diverse ensembles with class-balanced training and deployment-consistent calibration. It scores 0.8203 for risk, 0.7953 for evidence, and 0.7045 macro-F1 for factors, ranking third among 53 teams.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL·Sep 7, 17:14 UTC · 9d agoAI research

GTIG AI Threat Tracker: From Prompting to Autonomy – The Evolution of Adversarial AI

GTIG's Q2 2026 tracker shows adversaries adopting agentic AI workflows, including credential harvesting in under six hours and supply chain attacks by UNC6780.

Google Threat Intelligence Group's Q2 2026 report documents adversaries moving from basic prompting to agentic AI workflows and automation, including a cloud compromise followed by agent-enabled mass credential harvesting executed in under six hours. It tracks financially motivated actor UNC6780 (TeamPCP) conducting large-scale open source supply chain compromises across PyPI, npm, and Docker Hub since March 2026, deploying credential stealers. The report also highlights growing targeting of proprietary AI models, source code, prompts, and API credentials, plus LLMJacking practices where adversaries steal developer credentials or hijack cloud infrastructure to run unauthorized AI workloads.

Google Threat Intelligence·Sep 8, 14:00 UTC · 8d agoThreat actor in the wild1

Why AI raises the stakes for exposure validation

Fal.Con 2026 commentary argues AI accelerates vulnerability discovery and exploitation, making evidence-based exposure validation essential for defender prioritization.

CSO Online reports on the exposure-validation theme at CrowdStrike's Fal.Con 2026 conference, where CEO George Kurtz described AI as the new cyber battlefield and emphasized AI red teaming and continuous security. The piece argues that as AI speeds up vulnerability discovery and exploitability analysis on both sides, teams must determine which exposures are actually exploitable in their environments—chained weaknesses, credential abuse, lateral movement, privilege escalation—rather than chasing theoretical risk. It points readers to Horizon3's conference perspective.

CSO Online·Sep 11, 21:49 UTC · 5d agoIndustry

Windows Malware Detector as a Compound AI System: Trade-Offs in Accuracy, Efficiency, and Adversarial Robustness

Researchers model industrial Windows malware detection as a Compound AI System, quantifying trade-offs between detection accuracy, efficiency, and adversarial robustness under tiered attacker knowledge.

Industrial Windows malware detectors combine rule-based mechanisms with ML-based static and dynamic analyses, but their architectures are rarely publicly disclosed. The authors propose a methodology balancing detection performance, computational cost, and robustness, plus system-level threat models capturing whole-pipeline evasion rather than isolated components. Experiments on real-world data show training time reductions with marginal detection loss, while more knowledgeable attackers craft increasingly effective adversarial examples. The paper derives deployment guidelines from the observed efficiency-robustness trade-off.

arXiv cs.CR·Sep 8, 08:04 UTC · 8d agoResearch

CrowdStrike: AI is now both the weapon and the target in cyberattacks

CyberScoop·Aug 3, 07:01 UTC · Aug 3, 2026Exploit / PoC

Navigating the Latent Manifold: Proactive Concept Drift Adaptation for Resilient NIDS

Researchers propose DriftXpert, a concept-drift-adaptive network intrusion detection system validated on enterprise networks, addressing degraded AI-based NIDS performance in dynamic traffic.

AI-based network intrusion detection systems assume static data distributions and degrade under concept drift, raising false positives in dynamic environments. DriftXpert uses a two-stage offline framework: an unsupervised latent-manifold anomaly metric to detect traffic drift, and representation consistency alignment with cross-epoch neuron weight aggregation and selective freezing to transfer knowledge without catastrophic forgetting. Experiments on public datasets and a real enterprise network show effective adaptation to drifted data while retaining known-attack detection.

arXiv cs.CR·Sep 8, 11:58 UTC · 8d agoResearch

Evidence-Grounded Retrieval for Investigation Hunt Lead Generation from CTI Reports

AHLERT generates environment-aware threat hunting leads from CTI reports using ATT&CK-seeded knowledge graph retrieval, roughly doubling F1 over flat-RAG baselines.

The paper introduces AHLERT, a system that converts Cyber Threat Intelligence reports into structured, investigable hunt leads via hybrid dense retrieval with multi-hop traversal over an MITRE ATT&CK-seeded knowledge graph and ontology-grounded RAG constrained to the defender's assets. It is LLM-agnostic and evaluated on public CTI reports for well-known APTs across proprietary and open-weight models. Hybrid evidence retrieval with ontology grounding raises mean F1 from 0.44 to 0.85, and AHLERT attains the highest effectiveness score (~86.95%) versus off-the-shelf LLMs.

arXiv cs.CR·Sep 8, 14:21 UTC · 8d agoResearch

MInTRL: Off-policy Intervention can boost On-policy RL

MInTRL injects sparse judge corrections into on-policy RL rollouts, expanding exploration beyond on-policy sampling while preserving learnability on math and code benchmarks.

Minimal Intervention Reinforcement Learning periodically has a judge-intervention policy replace erroneous suffixes of the current policy's output with short corrections, then returns control, keeping trajectories largely on-policy. Training uses a sequence-level advantage-regression objective that removes the need for importance sampling. Across math and code benchmarks it consistently beats standard on-policy and off-policy baselines, remains effective with self-intervention, and performs best at moderate intervention intensity.

Hugging Face daily papers·Sep 10, 20:00 UTC · 6d agoAI research

Introducing Unit 42’s Attribution Framework

Unit 42 releases its Attribution Framework, a systematic method using Diamond Model and Admiralty scores to attribute activity clusters to named threat actors.

Palo Alto Networks' Unit 42 introduced a structured framework for threat actor attribution built on the Diamond Model of Intrusion Analysis and Admiralty reliability/credibility scoring. The framework tracks activity at three levels: activity clusters (named CL-STA, CL-CRI, CL-UNK, or CL-MIX), temporary threat groups, and named threat actors using the constellation naming schema. Analysts score evidence across TTPs, tooling, malware code, OPSEC, infrastructure, timelines, and victimology to decide when to merge or elevate clusters, avoiding premature group naming.

Palo Alto Unit 42·Aug 17, 10:52 UTC · Aug 17, 2026Research

Machine Unlearning as Private Retroactive Algorithms

A cs.CR paper defines private retroactive algorithms, showing machine unlearning is a data-maintenance problem and giving DP constructions for linear statistics, clustering, histograms.

The paper argues that machine unlearning's requirement to emulate retraining from scratch carries no meaningful privacy semantics against adversaries observing sequences of releases, recasting it as a data-maintenance question addressed by retroactive algorithms. It defines private retroactive algorithms, combining retroactivity with differential privacy under continual observation. Constructions achieve privacy and retroactivity at no asymptotic cost over privacy alone for linear statistics, clustering, and histograms, alongside impossibility results.

arXiv cs.CR·Sep 4, 16:32 UTC · 12d agoResearch

ReactHuman: A Physics-Grounded Benchmark for Human-Like Reactive Decision-Making in Embodied Multimodal LLMs

ReactHuman benchmark tests whether multimodal LLMs react safely to sudden household hazards; seven evaluated models mishandle roughly one hazard in three.

ReactHuman is the first physics-grounded benchmark for human-like reactive decision-making, placing a multimodal LLM as the brain of a simulated humanoid facing 17 event families of sudden household hazards across over 1,000 bit-for-bit reproducible scenes with annotation-free ground truth from 240 Hz rigid-body simulation, including adversarial objects whose appearance contradicts their physics. A five-metric suite scores each reaction along reasonable, safe, and physically grounded axes, and every committed plan is physically executed. Seven representative MLLMs mishandle roughly one hazard in three, act from fixed dispositions rather than the observed scene, trust appearance over motion, and miss interception points at meter scale; none of these failures shrink with model scale.

Hugging Face daily papers·Sep 8, 20:00 UTC · 8d agoAI research

The Agentic SOC – From AI Theater to Real Defense

Recorded Future and Accenture experts outline how security teams can move beyond 'AI theater' toward agentic SOC operations guided by measurable KPIs.

Recorded Future published a blog featuring perspectives from its own and Accenture experts on building an agentic security operations center. The piece argues organizations should prioritize measurable KPIs and proactively mitigate risks from autonomous agents. It also discusses evolving the analyst role from managing alerts to managing agents.

Recorded Future·Sep 1, 00:00 UTC · 15d agoIndustry