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They do think AI might kill everyone
Essay argues AI researchers sincerely believe superintelligent AI could cause human extinction, explaining p(doom), alignment motivation, and proposed doom scenarios.
An essay prompted by an Anthropic researcher's resignation tweet argues that many AI researchers genuinely assign a meaningful probability that superintelligent AI could end humanity, a belief the community has discussed since Eliezer Yudkowsky's writings around 2008 and summarized as 'p(doom)' since roughly 2010. It outlines concrete extinction scenarios, including AI-engineered pathogens, triggering thermonuclear war, robotic takeover, and self-replicating nanotechnology, and frames alignment research as the response. The author rebuts common counterarguments such as shutting the AI down or government nationalization of labs, and notes researchers see aligned superintelligence as humanity's best path to survival.
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Is Big Tech’s AI slowdown a safety pact or a cartel?
Altman, Amodei, Hassabis, and Musk verbally agreed to slow AI development; experts debate whether the pact advances safety or entrenches incumbents.
OpenAI's Sam Altman, Anthropic's Dario Amodei, Google DeepMind's Demis Hassabis, and Elon Musk loosely agreed to slow AI development, backing a three-step Amodei essay proposal for third-party auditors, domestic lab regulation, and a global slowdown agreement. Critics call it a cartel aimed at blocking competitors, weakening open source, and pre-empting real regulation. The pact follows mounting safety concerns, including rogue AI agent hacks at Anthropic and OpenAI, Jacob Coxon's resignation letter (viewed over 170 million times on X), and a July slowdown letter signed by 1,000+ lab employees after the OpenAI-Hugging Face incident. Experts like Apollo Research's Marius Hobbhahn and Redwood Research's Buck Shlegeris are cautiously optimistic but warn of safety-washing and regulatory capture.
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What’s behind the AI industry’s latest warnings of doom?
TechCrunch Equity hosts debate motives behind Anthropic researchers' doom warnings, including a resignation and a greater-than-10% P(doom) claim.
AI researcher Jacob Coxon resigned from Anthropic saying leading labs are 'gambling with our lives'; Anthropic's alignment lead amplified the post saying 'We really do earnestly believe AI could kill all humans!' with a stated greater-than-10% chance within a decade. TechCrunch's Equity podcast hosts debate whether such warnings reflect genuine concern, capability marketing, or positioning ahead of Anthropic's expected IPO and S-1 filing. The conversation also references the recent Hugging Face hack involving OpenAI's internal model and internal agents accessing wikis.
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