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17 stories in the last 7d

Google's new AI model predicts the future from sales data, weather, and discount schedules

Google Research released TimesFM-3, a 330M-parameter multivariate time series forecasting model that tops Gift-Eval, FEV-Bench, and Time benchmarks and is on Hugging Face.

Google Research released TimesFM-3, a 330-million-parameter Transformer-based time series forecasting model trained on more than one trillion real and synthetic data points. It works zero-shot and adds multivariate support, ingesting related series, historical-only covariates, and known future events such as discount schedules and weather forecasts, while filling all future time steps in a single one-shot pass. Google reports first place among pretrained forecasting models on Gift-Eval, FEV-Bench, and Time, ahead of Amazon's Chronos-2, the Toto-2.0 family, and its own TimesFM-2.5. Weights are available on GitHub and Hugging Face, with BigQuery integration planned in the coming weeks.

The Decoder · 4d agoModel release2

Evaluating Time-Series Foundation Models and Multimodal Dietary Context for CGM Forecasting

Study finds zero-shot time-series foundation models underperform on CGM forecasting; fine-tuned Chronos-Bolt cuts RMSE up to 18.4% and dietary context adds signal.

The paper evaluates time-series foundation models for continuous glucose monitoring forecasting across eight public datasets covering Type 1 diabetes, Type 2 diabetes, and non-diabetes populations. Under a unified protocol, zero-shot foundation models did not consistently outperform baselines like Elastic Net and PatchTST, but lightweight fine-tuning did, with fine-tuned Chronos-Bolt reducing RMSE by 6.5%-18.4% in the T1D cohort and 8.6%-18.2% in the non-diabetes/T2D cohort. A residual-based fusion framework adding dietary context from CGMacros reduced overall RMSE by about 3% and postprandial RMSE by about 15% versus CGM-only baselines.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL · 6d agoAI research

University of Manchester Uses NVIDIA Earth-2 to Forecast Air Pollution Across the UK

University of Manchester retrained NVIDIA Earth-2 CorrDiff and StormCast on Isambard-AI to forecast UK air pollution at 2-3 km resolution.

University of Manchester researchers led by professor David Topping adapted NVIDIA's Earth-2 generative AI frameworks to forecast air pollution across the UK. Earth-2 CorrDiff was retrained in two days on a single eight-GPU node of Isambard-AI (5,448 GH200 Grace Hopper Superchips, 21 exaflops) using a year of hourly simulated pollution data, producing a UK-wide model at 2-3 square kilometer resolution. The team added Earth-2 StormCast for time-dependent forecasts that ingest real air quality observations, and demonstrated the workflow runs on the DGX Spark desktop AI system. Open-source training data and workflows are planned so other countries and cities can build similar pollution models.

NVIDIA Blog · 15h agoAI industry

Building AI to accelerate science and improve lives

Google highlights AI-for-science advances: AlphaGenome Atlas mapping 9 billion genetic variants, WeatherNext 3 weather model, and global health AI tools.

Google detailed AI advances across science and health, including AlphaGenome Atlas, which mapped all 9 billion possible single-letter genetic changes in the human genome and was made openly available. WeatherNext 3 delivers 50% more accurate precipitation forecasts a day or more ahead and is already in products. AlphaFold is used by 4 million researchers in 190 countries, TB chest X-ray screening has processed 25,000+ scans across six nations, and the diabetic retinopathy model has supported 1.15 million screenings. Google also released its AI & Economy ATLAS global usage insights.

Google · AI · 1d agoAI industry

One resignation turned the embers of AI fear into a wildfire

Interconnects argues a frontier-lab researcher's safety resignation went viral via media coordination, reigniting AI existential-risk discourse.

The essay analyzes why researcher Jacob Coxon's resignation over AI safety risks went viral, aided by a Wall Street Journal exclusive, advocacy-group amplification, and Daniel Kokotajlo's same-day Joe Rogan appearance. It notes Evan Hubinger's >10% extinction-risk figure and criticizes existential-risk discourse for conflating very different meanings of the term. The author assigns near-zero probability to complete extinction but argues concrete risks such as cyberattacks on critical infrastructure and bio-risks merit debate. It also rejects recursive self-improvement forecasts, proposing 'lossy self-improvement' where models excel at math and code but remain limited elsewhere.

Interconnects · 6d agoAI safety & security

A Ranking Approach for Measuring Calibration

Researchers propose rankECE, a ranking-based calibration error measure with theoretical guarantees that outperforms binned ECE approximations.

The paper introduces rankECE, an alternative to Expected Calibration Error (ECE) that measures miscalibration by comparing points with neighboring predicted-probability values. It addresses the impossibility of estimating ECE with guaranteed accuracy in assumption-free settings. Theoretical guarantees and empirical results establish rankECE as a better proxy for ECE than the binned approximations most commonly used in practice.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL · 5d agoAI research1

US data centers could consume more natural gas than Germany and Japan combined by 2035

BloombergNEF projects US data centers will consume about 18 billion cubic feet of natural gas daily by 2035, exceeding Germany and Japan combined.

A new BloombergNEF report forecasts US data centers will consume roughly 18 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day by 2035, nearly double the estimate from nine months ago. On-site gas plants planned by Meta, Microsoft, Google, and Amazon would use 2.9-3.4 billion cubic feet per day, while grid-connected data centers drive an additional 15 billion cubic feet per day of power-sector gas demand. The added demand would generate about 1 million metric tons of extra greenhouse gas pollution daily, roughly 12% of current US emissions.

TechCrunch · AI · 1d agoAI industry

Meta expands subscription push with new AI-focused plans

Meta launched Meta One subscriptions ($7.99–$499/month) bundling expanded Muse AI image and video generation across Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp.

Meta introduced Meta One with consumer Core ($7.99/mo) and Premium ($19.99/mo) tiers plus business plans ranging from Essential ($14.99/mo) to Max ($499/mo). Subscriptions unlock expanded Muse Image, Muse Video, Restyle editing, and Meta Business Agent usage, following Meta's $14.3B investment in Scale AI. Appfigures data shows Instagram's daily subscription revenue averaging $1.2M and Facebook's $528K after the March Plus-tier launches, up 475% and 143% respectively. BNP Paribas forecasts $13.5B added revenue by 2028; Truist estimates $20B by 2030.

TechCrunch · AI · 1d agoAI industry

How much of F-Droid is LLM generated?

A FOSS maintainer manually graded 102 F-Droid apps from the September 12, 2026 update batch, finding many show signs of LLM-generated code.

A student and FOSS app maintainer reviewed 102 apps pushed to F-Droid on September 12, 2026, assigning each a three-tier rating for likelihood of LLM-authored code (mostly AI >50%, hard to say/mostly human, no signs of AI). The heuristic relies on commit aesthetics, README and branding style, and the presence of agentic infrastructure like Claude Code or Codex, which automatically places an app in the 'mostly AI' tier. Example ratings include Amber (Nostr event signer) as mostly AI, and Aria for Misskey as showing no AI signs. The author stresses reliable detection of LLM-generated code from text alone is impossible, so ratings are approximate.

[AINews] AEF-1 standard emerges for Third Party Evaluators, as Xai, OpenAI, and Anthropic all cosign

xAI, OpenAI, and Anthropic cosign the AEF-1 third-party evaluation standard while Dario Amodei proposes embedded evaluators for safety verification.

The AI Evaluator Forum published AEF-1, a baseline standard for independent third-party AI evaluations covering access, conflicts of interest, funding relationships, recusal, and transparency, cosigned by xAI, OpenAI, and Anthropic. Dario Amodei wrote a rare personal blogpost proposing embedded evaluators such as METR with desks, badges, company laptops, and internal-risk-team-level access to verify safety commitments, plus democratic and global coordination frameworks. The roundup also covers the pacing debate: Bilal Chughtai left Google DeepMind arguing progress may outrun alignment, while critics including Aidan Gomez and Cohere push back against slowdowns and lab gatekeeping. Additional items include Cline Desktop's launch with open-weight model support.

Latent Space · 1d agoAI safety & security

Nintendo Switch Vulnerability Allows Attackers to Run Unauthorized Code on Your Console

Nintendo patched CVE-2026-82079, a CVSS 7.0 stack buffer overflow in original Switch local wireless allowing nearby code execution via QR-code workflows.

Nintendo patched CVE-2026-82079 (CVSS 4.0 base score 7.0, High), a stack-based buffer overflow in the original Switch's local wireless networking affecting firmware earlier than 23.0.0. An adjacent attacker must scan a QR code displayed by the console, via the Album "Send to Smartphone" feature or Mario Kart Live: Home Circuit, before crafted packets can corrupt memory and enable return-oriented programming for arbitrary code execution. EPSS is approximately 0.16%, Switch 2 is not affected, and Nintendo's advisory was published September 10, 2026.

Cyber Security Newsupdated · 1d agofirst · 2d agoVulnerability 2 sourcesCVE-2026-82079

Defense Cyber Spending Set to Surge Amid Rising Attacks on Military Systems

MarketsandMarkets projects the cyber warfare market to nearly double from $14.99bn in 2026 to $28.75bn by 2031, driven by attacks on military systems.

A MarketsandMarkets report projects the global cyber warfare market will grow from $14.99bn in 2026 to $28.75bn by 2031. Growth is driven by rising attacks on military networks, reliance on connected platforms and cloud command-and-control systems, and Western investment in offensive cyber capabilities. Europe is projected to hold the largest market share, supported by NATO's shared cyber capabilities and joint exercises. Cloud-based security is expected to be the fastest-growing market segment.

Infosecurity Magazine · 2d agoIndustry

Omni-Streaming Thinking

Omni-Streaming Thinking fixes premature cross-modal commitment in streaming omni-modal models via pending claims verified against modality-specific evidence, beating baselines by over 10%.

The paper identifies 'premature cross-modal commitment', where streaming models keep relaying early visual interpretations even after audio contradicts them. OST generates evidence-linked pending claims with future verification intervals, stores audio and visual evidence separately, and refutes claims when contradictory evidence appears. Built on a frozen Qwen3-Omni-30B-A3B-Instruct backbone with lightweight adaptation, it outperforms open baselines by more than 10% relative on five streaming and audio-visual benchmarks. On the new OST-DiagBench it reaches d-prime 2.95 versus at most 1.38 for open baselines, while reducing vision-induced auditory hallucinations.

Hugging Face daily papers · 3d agoAI research1

Top 10 Best CNAPP (Cloud-Native Application Protection) Platforms in 2026

GBHackers ranks 10 CNAPP platforms for 2026, naming Wiz, Prisma Cloud, and Microsoft Defender for Cloud as category leaders.

The guide describes CNAPP as the umbrella combining CSPM, CWPP, CIEM, and DSPM, arguing that cross-pillar correlation of attack paths is the platform's core value. Wiz is ranked best for graph-based correlation, Prisma Cloud for the broadest module set, and Microsoft Defender for Cloud for Azure economics. It also cites Google's approximately $32 billion agreement to acquire Wiz, announced in March 2025, as buyer leverage and a reason to seek roadmap and neutrality protections in multi-year contracts.

Cyber Security News · 5d agoIndustry1

Slack can now vibe-code interactive charts and reports inside chats

Slack launched Slackforce Surfaces, letting Slackbot build interactive dashboards, reports, and microsites directly inside chat channels.

Slackforce Surfaces uses AI to gather context from conversations and connected apps such as Google Drive and Salesforce to generate shareable interactive reports, polls, dashboards, and presentations. Surfaces can be pinned to channels where colleagues can view, interact, and comment. The feature is available to all customers, including free users, with Slackbot enabled, and live data support starts in October.

The Verge · AI · 5d agoAI industry1

Explainability Assistant: A Conversational XAI Interface for Interpreting Energy Consumption Models

Researchers release Explainability Assistant, an open-source conversational XAI tool using LLM function calling, lifting intent-parsing accuracy from 76.8% to 94%.

The paper introduces the Explainability Assistant, an open-source conversational XAI system for interpreting energy consumption forecasting models such as genetic-programming symbolic regressors. It uses LLM function calling instead of rigid custom grammars, achieving 94% intent-parsing accuracy versus 76.8% for prior work TalkToModel, and adapts to different ML problem types without task-specific fine-tuning. Comparative evaluation with energy domain specialists against a traditional XAI dashboard showed improved usability, with all experts preferring the conversational interface.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL · 6d agoAI research1

Will AI kill us all within the next decade?

Anthropic alignment lead Evan Hubinger says he personally estimates a greater than 10% chance AI could kill all humans within the next decade.

A Wall Street Journal report says concerns are rising inside AI labs that competition is pushing companies toward self-improving models that could spiral out of human control. Anthropic's Alignment Science lead Evan Hubinger publicly endorsed researcher Jacob Coxon's warning, giving a personal estimate of a greater than 10% chance of AI causing human extinction within a decade, driven by recursive self-improvement. Hubinger described the risk from current models as low, focusing his concern on future systems with far greater autonomy. The piece argues for safeguards such as independent testing, limits on high-risk autonomous uses, transparency, and accountability.

Malwarebytes Labs · 6d agoAI safety & security