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XDOF, just 3 months out of stealth, is in talks for a Series B at a $1.2B valuation

Robotics data startup XDOF is in talks for a Series B at a $1.2B valuation led by 8VC, three months after emerging from stealth.

XDOF, co-founded in 2024 by UC Berkeley researchers Philipp Wu and Fred Shentu, collects real-world teleoperation data for training general-purpose robots. It raised a $70M Series A in June from Thrive Capital, Andreessen Horowitz, Lux, and Spark Capital, and annualized revenue is approaching $50 million. The company is partnering with UC Berkeley's AI Research lab to release the ABC robot training dataset and already serves about 20 customers, including several frontier AI labs. Terms of the Series B are not final.

TechCrunch · AISep 4, 23:36 UTC · 11d agoAI industry

The full stack behind abundant intelligence

OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar describes how compounding gains across chips, compute, models, and products cut intelligence costs.

OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar explains the company's 'full stack' strategy, arguing that advances across chips, compute, models, and products compound to deliver more useful intelligence at greater scale and lower cost. The post is a corporate strategy narrative rather than a technical or product release. It frames vertical integration as the driver of OpenAI's economics.

OpenAI NewsAug 25, 07:05 UTC · 22d agoAI industry

A Hybrid LSTM-XGBoost Framework for Multi-Horizon Stock Return Prediction Across Diversified Equity Portfolios

Hybrid LSTM-XGBoost model predicts multi-horizon returns for 14 US equities, cutting 30-day RMSE to about one-third of a standalone LSTM baseline.

The paper combines a two-layer LSTM (64 hidden units) processing 60-day windows of five market features with an XGBoost regressor over a 78-dimensional hybrid feature vector including 14 technical indicators. It is trained on pooled data for 14 US equities across six sectors using chronological splits and per-stock MinMaxScaling to prevent look-ahead bias, and evaluated at 30, 90, 252, and 365 trading-day horizons. The hybrid achieves test RMSE of 0.0949 at 30 days, roughly one-third of the standalone LSTM, while 97.6% directional accuracy at 365 days largely tracks the base rate of positive returns.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CLSep 11, 17:51 UTC · 5d agoAI research

AEO startup Profound hits unicorn valuation, raises $180M Series D 7 months after last round

AEO startup Profound raised a $180M Series D at a $1.8B valuation led by Sequoia and Kleiner Perkins.

Profound, which builds marketing software to help brands appear in AI search results, raised a $180 million Series D at a $1.8 billion valuation, seven months after its $96 million Series C. Sequoia and Kleiner Perkins led the round, with Lightspeed Venture Partners, Khosla Ventures, and South Park Commons participating. The company reports 3x revenue growth in six months and over 1,000 enterprise customers including Comcast, The Estée Lauder Companies, and Walmart. It operates in the generative engine optimization (GEO) and answer engine optimization (AEO) space.

TechCrunch · AISep 15, 15:22 UTC · 1d agoAI industry

Fortunate Recall: Ontology-Driven Memory Lifecycle Management for Persistent Coherence in LLMs

Fortunate Recall introduces ontology-based lifecycle policies for LLM memory, cutting confabulation roughly in half (e.g., 45.1% to 22.4%) versus Mem0.

Fortunate Recall (FR) is a composable policy layer that classifies personal facts into a 10+1 behavioral ontology and applies category-specific lifecycle rules including differential temporal decay, slot-key supersession, event-time validity, and retrieval routing. FR-Bank scores 76.9% on the new 516-question LifecycleBench, ahead of Mem0, A-MEM, Memory-R1, and MemoryOS (61%-70.5%), and 75.2% on LongMemEval-S. End-to-end, confabulation drops from Mem0's 45.1% to 22.4% over answered queries, with the ranking replicating on open-weight Kimi K2.5 and transferring to the independent BEAM benchmark (46.8% vs 32.9%).

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CLSep 9, 16:31 UTC · 7d agoAI research

The Work Now Within Reach

OpenAI argues increasingly capable and affordable AI can expand what workers and businesses accomplish, lowering the cost of growth.

An OpenAI publication frames more capable, affordable AI as a way to expand the work people and businesses can accomplish and to make economic growth more economical. The piece is presented as an exploration of AI's economic impact rather than a technical or product announcement. No specific models, benchmarks, or metrics are named in the available text.

OpenAI NewsSep 8, 13:00 UTC · 8d agoAI industry1

HelmGuard Raises $7.3 Million for Agentic GRC and Security

Agentic GRC and security startup HelmGuard raised a $7.3 million seed round co-led by Infinity Ventures and Frontline.

HelmGuard, a UK-based startup founded in 2024 by former Palantir executive John Daley (CEO) and Jack Miller (CTO), announced a $7.3 million seed round co-led by Infinity Ventures and Frontline, with participation from FinTech Collective, Stage 2 Capital, and Entrepreneurs First. The company builds agentic governance, risk and compliance (GRC) software that collects risk signals directly from integrated source systems and uses AI agents to automate risk management, assurance, and control gap assessments. It claims the platform cuts assessment cycles to hours by unifying fragmented compliance and security data.

SecurityWeekSep 9, 17:23 UTC · 7d agoIndustry

Cognition hits $48B valuation, signaling investors believe AI coding is far from a winner-take-all market

Cognition, maker of Devin, raised $2 billion at a $48 billion valuation led by a16z, Accel, and Founders Fund, with revenue at $900M annualized.

Cognition raised $2 billion at a $48 billion valuation, four months after a $26 billion round, led by Andreessen Horowitz, Accel, Founders Fund, General Catalyst, and Avenir. Its annualized run-rate revenue grew from $492 million to $900 million since May, with projected $4-5 billion by end of 2026, while compute costs could push 2026 burn to $800 million. The startup, founded by Scott Wu, counts Mercedes-Benz, NASA, Goldman Sachs, and Citi as customers and is training its own model to cut reliance on OpenAI and Anthropic.

TechCrunch · AISep 8, 21:04 UTC · 8d agoAI industry

Cylake Raises $245 Million Ahead of Cybersecurity Platform Beta

Cylake, an AI-native sovereign security startup founded by Palo Alto Networks' Nir Zuk, raised $245 million, taking total funding to $290 million.

Security startup Cylake raised $245 million via a convertible note with participation from Lightspeed Venture Partners, Picture Capital, and Redpoint Ventures, six months after a $45 million Greylock-led seed. Founded by Nir Zuk, Wilson Xu, and Ehud Shamir, the 40-plus-employee company is building an on-premises/private-cloud AI-native security platform for governments and highly regulated enterprises. A beta is expected by the end of 2026 with general availability in 2027.

SecurityWeekSep 8, 15:21 UTC · 8d agoIndustry

After warning AI is too dangerous, Bill Gates bets a billion on its upside

Gates Foundation pledges at least $1 billion over two years to widen AI access in health, education and agriculture, warning of a rich-poor divide.

The Gates Foundation's 2026 Goalkeepers report outlines spending of at least $1 billion over two years on AI access in health, education and farming. Gates notes over 90% of early LLM training data was English, with speech recognition error rates below 6% in English but above 60% in Yoruba. Cited projects include Penda Health clinics in Kenya (16-point diagnostic accuracy gain), Gemini Guided Learning in Sierra Leone (1.7 years of learning gains in eight weeks), and India's MahaVISTAAR reaching 740,000+ farmers at under 18 cents per person.

The DecoderSep 15, 14:26 UTC · 1d agoAI industry1

Simulation: the new Scaling Law — Joon Sung Park, Simile AI

Simile AI raised a $2B Series B from GreenOaks and Index Ventures to scale human-behavior simulation for Fortune 100 clients like CVS.

Simile AI, co-founded by Generative Agents researcher Joon Sung Park, announced a $2 billion Series B backed by GreenOaks and Index Ventures, with Fei-Fei Li and Andrej Karpathy among backers. The company runs tens of millions of simulations for Fortune 100 clients including CVS, reporting 85-99% accuracy versus human focus groups and digital twins of 1,000 real people at 85% behavioral accuracy. The long-term ambition is foundation models of human behavior, post-trained on interviews, transaction data, and randomized controlled trials, potentially simulating all 8 billion people.

Latent SpaceAug 21, 23:37 UTC · 25d agoAI industry

Anthropic eyes Nasdaq listing as a second profitable quarter aims to win over investors ahead of a mega-IPO

Anthropic reports a second straight profitable quarter with $11.5B quarterly revenue and prepares a Nasdaq IPO at a possible $2T-plus valuation.

Anthropic told investors it will be profitable for a second consecutive quarter, though the claim uses an adjusted metric excluding costs like stock-based compensation. Quarterly revenue jumped 14-fold year over year to $11.5 billion, with an annualized run rate of $65 billion at the end of July and gross margins above 80 percent before revenue-sharing and training costs. The company plans a Nasdaq listing at a possible valuation of $2 trillion or more, while SemiAnalysis expects $120 billion in annualized revenue by year-end. The news coincides with CEO Dario Amodei's public call to slow AI development, backed by Sam Altman and Elon Musk.

The DecoderSep 14, 15:46 UTC · 2d agoAI industry

A new open standard locks AI weights to approved hardware

OPAQUE releases Weight Custody Manifest, an open standard keeping AI model weights encrypted until receiving hardware cryptographically attests to builder-specified conditions.

OPAQUE, a confidential computing company, released the Weight Custody Manifest (WCM) standard as a developer-preview specification with a Python SDK and a public test suite of 91 cases. WCM keeps model weights encrypted until the receiving infrastructure proves via CPU/GPU attestation that it matches builder-signed conditions, and decryption access can be revoked later if conditions change. OPAQUE says it ran the attestation exchange on an NVIDIA H100 and on AMD and Intel confidential servers hosted on Azure and Google Cloud, with two independent SDK builds producing identical output across 5,948 files. The public quickstart only exercises protocol logic on synthetic evidence and skips GPU cryptographic verification, and the standard cannot distinguish an authorized key from one physically extracted from hardware.

Help Net SecuritySep 10, 04:10 UTC · 6d agoAI safety & security

Generative Marketing Mix Modeling: A Causal Inference Framework Linking GEO and GEM to Business Impact

Paper proposes Generative Marketing Mix Modeling to causally estimate Generative Engine Optimization and Marketing effects on business outcomes.

The authors develop GMMM, a causal inference framework for measuring how often users see and notice a firm's name in generated answers, which standard marketing data ignore. For GEO it combines repeated generated answers with question counts, shares of generative-system usage and notice probabilities; for GEM it uses sponsored placement records with notice probabilities. The framework compares expected business responses under alternative treatment sequences, establishes identification conditions, and is evaluated on simulated product-recommendation answers in English and Japanese.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CLSep 10, 17:57 UTC · 6d agoAI research

Evaluating Time-Series Foundation Models and Multimodal Dietary Context for CGM Forecasting

Study finds zero-shot time-series foundation models underperform on CGM forecasting; fine-tuned Chronos-Bolt cuts RMSE up to 18.4% and dietary context adds signal.

The paper evaluates time-series foundation models for continuous glucose monitoring forecasting across eight public datasets covering Type 1 diabetes, Type 2 diabetes, and non-diabetes populations. Under a unified protocol, zero-shot foundation models did not consistently outperform baselines like Elastic Net and PatchTST, but lightweight fine-tuning did, with fine-tuned Chronos-Bolt reducing RMSE by 6.5%-18.4% in the T1D cohort and 8.6%-18.2% in the non-diabetes/T2D cohort. A residual-based fusion framework adding dietary context from CGMacros reduced overall RMSE by about 3% and postprandial RMSE by about 15% versus CGM-only baselines.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CLSep 10, 17:43 UTC · 6d agoAI research

E2A-Bench: Benchmarking Evidence-to-Action Reliability in Financial Chart Reasoning

E2A-Bench, a 969-query financial chart reasoning benchmark, finds VLMs fail evidence-to-action consistency, with fine-tuning amplifying BUY:SELL bias 4-6x.

E2A-Bench is a 969-query benchmark built from 323 HS300 constituents across three input modalities with deterministic OHLCV-derived evidence anchors, evaluating grounding, reasoning-action consistency, evidence-confidence calibration, and directional coverage via UCR, RCI, ECI, and NDR metrics. Testing 20 VLMs showed the lowest-hallucination model ranked near the bottom on coverage with only 6.4% directional coverage, and oracle-aided verification reduced unsupported claims but could collapse coverage. Financial fine-tuning amplified the BUY:SELL ratio by factors of 4.21 to 4.68 across base-fine-tuned pairs.

Hugging Face daily papersSep 12, 20:00 UTC · 4d agoAI research

What building an AI-native finance function taught me

OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar shares five lessons from building an AI-native finance function, covering forecasting, controls, and AI ROI.

OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar outlines five lessons learned from building an AI-native finance function at the company. Topics include automated forecasting, stronger financial controls, and measuring AI return on investment. The piece is a first-person account of enterprise AI adoption within a finance organization rather than a product or research announcement.

OpenAI NewsAug 10, 17:00 UTC · Aug 10, 2026AI industry

NVIDIA AI Factory Compute Is Becoming an Investable Asset Class

NVIDIA partners with Apollo, BlackRock, Blackstone, Brookfield, Goldman Sachs and KKR to mobilize over $500 billion of third-party capital for AI infrastructure financing.

NVIDIA announced partnerships with major financial firms including Apollo, BlackRock, Blackstone, Brookfield, Goldman Sachs and KKR. The independent financing platforms are designed to mobilize more than $500 billion of third-party capital to support AI infrastructure buildout. NVIDIA frames the move as positioning AI factory compute as an investable asset class.

NVIDIA BlogAug 12, 00:38 UTC · Aug 12, 2026AI industry

Anthropic’s $2 trillion IPO puts powerful external trustees in spotlight

Anthropic's $2 trillion IPO spotlights its external trustee governance, removable only by an 85% shareholder supermajority that may shift post-listing.

Anthropic's reported $2 trillion IPO is drawing scrutiny of its unusual governance, in which external trustees guard the company's mission and can only be removed with 85% shareholder voting power, a threshold that could change once it goes public. Compared with OpenAI's 2023 board crisis, Anthropic's structure is seen as less risky because it includes a built-in mechanism for shareholder intervention. Early investors knowingly backed the structure, citing its safety emphasis, but experts including Harvard's Fried urge public-market investors to scrutinize and price these arrangements before IPOs.

Ars Technica · AISep 4, 16:22 UTC · 12d agoAI industry

Hackuity Raises $19 Million for AI-Powered Vulnerability Management

Vulnerability management vendor Hackuity raised $19 million led by Forgepoint Capital, bringing total funding to $38 million for its AI-driven prioritization platform.

Hackuity, a Lyon, France-based vulnerability management vendor founded in 2018, raised $19 million led by Forgepoint Capital, bringing total funding to $38 million. Its platform aggregates and normalizes vulnerability and asset data from more than 130 security products, adding threat intelligence and business context for risk-based prioritization and remediation orchestration. Existing investors Bright Pixel Capital, Bpifrance, and Seventure Partners participated; the funds will strengthen AI capabilities and support expansion across Europe and Asia.

SecurityWeek11:11 UTC · 12h agoIndustry

What LLM Trading Agents Actually Do in Production: A Six-Month, Population-Scale Record from Two Fleets

Six-month record of 7.5M LLM trading agent invocations shows volatility-blind sizing, minimal upside capture, and no directional edge across two fleets.

The study records autonomous LLM trading agents in production across DX Terminal Pro (3,505 user-funded vaults trading real ETH in Base memecoin markets) and the DXAP fleet (500-599 agents on Hyperliquid perpetuals), spanning roughly six months, 7.5M single-model invocations and about 300K onchain actions. A risk slider explains leverage (+0.425 per level), median leverage is 5.0x in every volatility sextile, and one posture-slider cell holds 62% of liquidations. Agents capture little upside: 43.2% of positions saw +300 bps favorable excursion within 24h yet 49.3% of those closed negative, while the DXAP fleet trails a matched retail benchmark (41% vs 50% roundtrip win rate). A paired-replay league of frontier models finds decision quality statistically indistinguishable at this horizon.

Hugging Face daily papersSep 3, 20:00 UTC · 13d agoAI research

What must happen for AI’s trillion-dollar gamble to pay off

Hyperscalers need 2.7x productivity gains by 2030 to justify nearly $1.1 trillion in AI data center spending, or risk bankruptcy and capital misallocation.

Wharton finance professor Jessica Wachter estimates hyperscaler AI expenditure will reach nearly $1.1 trillion through 2027 and that a 2.7x productivity increase is needed to break even by 2030. AI revenues of roughly $150-200 billion this year fall far short of about $750 billion in annual spending, with total investment from Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, and Oracle potentially exceeding $5 trillion over four years. Alphabet reported its first free cash flow deficit (about $5.9 billion) since its 2004 IPO due to AI infrastructure costs. Researchers warn that failed demand could make the buildout the largest capital misallocation in history, with depreciating GPU chips risking stranded assets.

MIT Technology Review · AISep 15, 10:00 UTC · 1d agoAI industry

Teaching Everyone to Fish for Tokens

Analysis argues open-source AI now depends heavily on Nvidia's financing, with a reported $26 billion bet shaping the open-weights ecosystem's future.

An Interconnects essay examines whether the open-source model recipe, exemplified by Ai2's Olmo and Nvidia's Nemotron releases, can become economically self-sustaining. It reports Nvidia is spending roughly $26 billion on near-open-source models to drive demand for its chips, and argues the open ecosystem faces an existential financing window over the next few years. The author predicts open models may fork toward efficiency, specialization, and on-prem enterprise agents rather than competing head-on with closed frontier labs.

InterconnectsAug 17, 15:07 UTC · Aug 17, 2026AI industry

Mistral raises €3B

Mistral raised a Samsung-led €3B Series D at a €21B+ valuation — the largest European tech equity round — to scale compute and frontier AI research.

Mistral announced a €3 billion Series D at a post-money valuation above €21 billion, the largest equity round ever by a European technology company. Samsung Electronics led the round, with co-leads Scaleup Europe Fund (managed by EQT) and PSG Equity; new investors include Advent, BlackRock, and the Grand Duchy of Luxembourg. The company operates across 20 countries, serves 125+ enterprises including Airbus, ASML, and HSBC, and says funds will expand frontier research, compute capacity, and international growth.

Hacker News · AISep 8, 05:06 UTC · 8d agoAI industry HN 648↑ · 468 comments

One Symptom, Three Levers: A Critical Review of On-Policy Self-Distillation

A review paper frames on-policy self-distillation collapse as governed by three levers: token weighting, privileged information, and guidance decay.

The paper critically reviews On-Policy Self-Distillation (OPSD), where a language model trains on its own generations scored token-by-token by a teacher conditioned on privileged information such as reference solutions or environment feedback. It identifies collapse, the progressive narrowing of producible reasoning paths, as the dominant failure mode and analyzes it through three levers: signal weighting, the nature of privileged information, and teacher dynamics. The review is restricted to mathematical reasoning, reports no new experiments, and offers a shared vocabulary separating settled findings from disputed ones.

Hugging Face daily papersAug 25, 20:00 UTC · 22d agoAI research

How law firm Gilbert + Tobin governs and scales AI with OpenAI

OpenAI details how law firm Gilbert + Tobin scales ChatGPT Enterprise and Codex firm-wide under CEO-led governance with human accountability.

OpenAI published a customer story describing Gilbert + Tobin's adoption of ChatGPT Enterprise and Codex across the law firm. The firm pairs executive-level commitment with formal governance and human accountability to expand AI use in legal workflows. The piece is a promotional case study, with no new product capabilities or research announced.

OpenAI NewsSep 1, 01:00 UTC · 15d agoAI industry1

Distill Globally, Adapt Locally: Reasoning Distillation and Product-Type Test-Time Training for Scalable Trade-Up Recommendation

A distillation framework compresses LLM reasoning into a 15.5M-parameter trade-up recommendation model reaching AUC 0.941 with product-type test-time training.

The paper targets trade-up recommendation, which identifies higher-quality alternatives that preserve customer purchase intent. A retrieval-augmented few-shot LLM teacher generates labels and rationales that supervise a compact embedding-pair classifier; at inference the 15.5M-parameter student uses only two precomputed 768-dimensional embeddings with no LLM calls. On 8,352 annotated pairs, label-only training scored AUC 0.912, reasoning distillation reached 0.924, and product-type test-time training lifted it to 0.941 with average precision 0.940. The distilled student is roughly 5,000x faster and 10,000x cheaper than direct LLM inference on a 100K-pair proxy catalog.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CLSep 4, 17:08 UTC · 12d agoAI research

AI compute provider Nscale is looking for $3.5B in pre-IPO financing

British AI compute provider Nscale seeks $3.5B pre-IPO via $1.5B convertible notes and $2B from Nvidia ahead of a possible September IPO.

Nscale, a British AI infrastructure company founded about two years ago, is reportedly in talks to raise $3.5 billion ahead of an IPO that could come as early as late September 2026: $1.5 billion in convertible notes plus $2 billion in financing from Nvidia. Nvidia previously joined Nscale's $1.1 billion Series B in March, led by Aker and billed as the largest Series B in European history, following a $155 million Series A in December 2024. Nscale recently signed an approximately $45 billion deal with Anthropic and has told investors it has roughly $103 billion in projected revenue based on signed customer leases.

TechCrunch · AISep 4, 21:12 UTC · 12d agoAI industry

Google's new AI model predicts the future from sales data, weather, and discount schedules

Google Research released TimesFM-3, a 330M-parameter multivariate time series forecasting model that tops Gift-Eval, FEV-Bench, and Time benchmarks and is on Hugging Face.

Google Research released TimesFM-3, a 330-million-parameter Transformer-based time series forecasting model trained on more than one trillion real and synthetic data points. It works zero-shot and adds multivariate support, ingesting related series, historical-only covariates, and known future events such as discount schedules and weather forecasts, while filling all future time steps in a single one-shot pass. Google reports first place among pretrained forecasting models on Gift-Eval, FEV-Bench, and Time, ahead of Amazon's Chronos-2, the Toto-2.0 family, and its own TimesFM-2.5. Weights are available on GitHub and Hugging Face, with BigQuery integration planned in the coming weeks.

The DecoderSep 12, 09:26 UTC · 4d agoModel release2

An Anthropic researcher’s doomsday warning comes at a very interesting time

An Anthropic researcher resigned warning the company is 'gambling with our lives' racing toward superintelligence, timed with its reported IPO preparation.

TechCrunch's Equity podcast discusses the resignation of an Anthropic researcher who warned on X that the company is 'racing straight to self-improving superintelligence and gambling with our lives'. The company's own alignment lead co-signed the message rather than walking it back. The hosts note the warning lands differently with Anthropic reportedly preparing for an IPO. The episode also covers Apple's AI-focused event, Stokes Space's $1 billion raise, Cognition raising $2 billion at a $48 billion valuation, and a $50 million seed round for floating nuclear reactors.

TechCrunch · AISep 11, 18:41 UTC · 5d agoAI industry1