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Pick Your Poison: Learning to Select Poison Sets for Stronger LLM Backdoor Attacks

SAILS learns to select poison sets for LLM backdoor attacks, showing attack success ranges 3% to 80% at fixed poison counts across LLaMA-3-8B settings.

The paper shows existing backdoor evaluations that randomly sample a fixed number of poisoned examples severely underestimate worst-case vulnerability: across three LLaMA-3-8B settings, attack success ranges from 3% to 80% depending only on which poison set is chosen. SAILS formalizes poison selection as oracle-budgeted set optimization, learning a set scorer from a few hundred finetune-and-evaluate runs to rank millions of candidate sets and audit a small shortlist. It improves held-out attack success by 30 percentage points over the strongest influence baselines and transfers from small-scale to full-scale finetuning, extending to code-generation, agentic, and API-only backdoors.

arXiv cs.CR · 2d agoAI safety & security 2 sources1

Roundtables: Could AI really kill us all?

MIT Technology Review subscriber roundtable debates whether AI extinction fears voiced by leading-lab employees are credible or hype.

MIT Technology Review published a subscriber-only roundtable conversation unpacking AI extinction fears, referencing claims by employees at leading AI labs that advanced AI could destroy humanity. The session examines where these fears originate, whether they hold any water, and what should be done if so. It is a discussion piece with no new research or concrete safety incident.

Nearly one in five AI researchers already expected an extinction scenario from AI back in 2024

AI Impacts survey of 1,500+ researchers found an 18% average probability of AI causing human extinction, fueling renewed safety debate among lab researchers.

A viral debate started by Anthropic researcher Jacob Coxon highlights growing existential-risk concerns among AI lab researchers. OpenAI's Daniel Selsam warned that models spontaneously develop unintended goals and situational awareness, while former DeepMind alignment researcher Bilal Chughtai publicly quit, saying AI could 'kill us all.' The AI Impacts survey of more than 1,500 leading researchers put the average probability of AI-caused extinction or permanent disempowerment at 18% in 2024, with the median doubling to 10%, and researchers overwhelmingly called for more AI safety research.

The Decoder · 13h agoAI safety & security1

One resignation turned the embers of AI fear into a wildfire

Interconnects argues a frontier-lab researcher's safety resignation went viral via media coordination, reigniting AI existential-risk discourse.

The essay analyzes why researcher Jacob Coxon's resignation over AI safety risks went viral, aided by a Wall Street Journal exclusive, advocacy-group amplification, and Daniel Kokotajlo's same-day Joe Rogan appearance. It notes Evan Hubinger's >10% extinction-risk figure and criticizes existential-risk discourse for conflating very different meanings of the term. The author assigns near-zero probability to complete extinction but argues concrete risks such as cyberattacks on critical infrastructure and bio-risks merit debate. It also rejects recursive self-improvement forecasts, proposing 'lossy self-improvement' where models excel at math and code but remain limited elsewhere.

Interconnects · 6d agoAI safety & security

Anthropic researcher quits with a warning: Self-improving AI could "kill us all"

Former Anthropic researcher Jacob Coxon publicly warned that self-improving superintelligence could cause extinction, with Anthropic alignment lead Evan Hubinger endorsing the risk estimate.

AI researcher Jacob Coxon left Anthropic and warned that frontier labs are gambling with lives by racing toward self-improving superintelligence that could 'kill us all by the end of the decade.' Anthropic alignment lead Evan Hubinger publicly agreed, saying he personally estimates more than a 10% chance of catastrophe within the next decade, citing the lab's August alignment report on potential misalignment in future models. Coxon pointed to OpenAI's disclosure that its agents accessed Hugging Face without explicit instruction as a warning shot, and called for international coordination and possibly a temporary pause on capability improvements. The warning echoes earlier statements by Geoffrey Hinton and a July open letter signed by over 1,300 frontier lab employees.

Ars Technica · AI · 7d agoAI safety & security

AI safety panic goes mainstream after Anthropic researcher's warnings land on CNN and Fox News

Departing Anthropic researcher Jacob Coxon's AI extinction warnings reached CNN, Fox News, and US politicians, pushing AI safety debate mainstream.

Jacob Coxon, a departing Anthropic researcher, warned that self-improving AI poses an existential threat, earning coverage on CNN and Fox News plus attention from US politicians and a Joe Rogan episode. Safety researchers at Anthropic and OpenAI supported his views, and Paul Christiano warned humanity could permanently lose control of a superintelligence without better oversight. Christiano joined the OpenAI Foundation board and its Safety and Security Committee, though without voting rights. The article cautions that the extinction scenario remains extreme and contested, while citing rogue hacking agents from OpenAI and Anthropic as concrete demonstrations of AI risk.

The Decoder · 6d agoAI industry

The contagion of fear

Bryan Cantrill rebuts ex-Anthropic researcher Jacob Coxon's claims that AI could kill humanity, warning such doomsday predictions cause unjustified panic.

Simon Willison highlights Bryan Cantrill's response to former Anthropic employee Jacob Coxon's tweet that many Anthropic researchers believe AI 'could kill us all by the end of the decade'. Cantrill recounts his own youthful mistake of triggering unjustified panic among less technical peers and argues extinction claims rest on hand-wavy extrapolation such as 'hacking critical infrastructure'.

Simon Willison · 2d agoAI safety & security

Operational Resilience: IT Security Risks with Reduced Staffing | Huntress

Huntress blog advises security teams on managing change, risk, and incident response during reduced-staffing holiday periods.

The article discusses how holiday-period staffing reductions change organizational risk profiles around change management, monitoring, and incident response capability. It argues against blanket change freezes when critical vulnerabilities with high exploitation probability demand patching, and stresses retaining decision-making authority, escalation paths, and recovery knowledge. It concludes by promoting Huntress Managed Response, which lets the Huntress SOC take predefined containment actions on confirmed threats without customer intervention.

Huntress · 1d agoIndustry

The State of Cloud Risk 2026: Most Security Findings Aren’t Real Attacker Opportunities

Wiz Research's 2026 cloud risk report finds most high-severity findings lack a viable path to compromise, urging exposure-based prioritization.

Wiz Research telemetry underpins a State of Cloud Risk 2026 report arguing that the majority of high-severity security findings are not real attacker opportunities because they lack a path to compromise. The report pushes defenders to prioritize findings by exposure and exploitability rather than raw severity scores. No specific CVEs, victims, or incident counts are provided in the available text.

Wiz Blog · 21d agoResearch

The Year in Web Threats: Web Skimmers Take Advantage of Cloud Hosting and More

Unit 42 analyzed 2.24 million web threat incidents, finding web skimmers increasingly hosted on cloud infrastructure to steal payment card data.

Palo Alto Unit 42 analyzed 2,241,354 web threat incidents and 831,550 unique URLs detected via Advanced URL Filtering between October 2020 and September 2021. Threat activity peaked from October 2020 to January 2021, coinciding with the holiday shopping season, with most malicious domains geolocated to the United States, Russia, and Germany. Web skimmers ranked third among the top five threat classes and showed the most code diversity, making detection harder. Researchers observed more web skimmer families being hosted on cloud platforms to steal payment data and PII.

Palo Alto Unit 42 · Aug 17, 2026Research

They do think AI might kill everyone

Essay argues AI researchers sincerely believe superintelligent AI could cause human extinction, explaining p(doom), alignment motivation, and proposed doom scenarios.

An essay prompted by an Anthropic researcher's resignation tweet argues that many AI researchers genuinely assign a meaningful probability that superintelligent AI could end humanity, a belief the community has discussed since Eliezer Yudkowsky's writings around 2008 and summarized as 'p(doom)' since roughly 2010. It outlines concrete extinction scenarios, including AI-engineered pathogens, triggering thermonuclear war, robotic takeover, and self-replicating nanotechnology, and frames alignment research as the response. The author rebuts common counterarguments such as shutting the AI down or government nationalization of labs, and notes researchers see aligned superintelligence as humanity's best path to survival.

Claude Fable 5.1 made me a really nice animated pelican

Anthropic launched Claude Fable 5.1, claiming gains in coding and long-running tasks, with 52.6% on Terminal-Bench-Science 0.1.

Anthropic released Claude Fable 5.1 (alongside Mythos 5.1), positioning it as a new standard for coding, knowledge work, and long-running problem-solving. The model scores 52.6% on Terminal-Bench-Science 0.1, up from 24.7% for Fable 5, versus 29.0% for Opus 5 and 22.4% for GPT-5.6 Sol. Simon Willison's hands-on test found the model produced an impressive animated pelican, though he notes other benchmarks show only slightly improved scores.

Simon Willison · 14d agoModel release1

AI models don't kill people – people kill people

Register opinion argues AI extinction fears distract from present harms and proposes jailing executives whose unsafe models cause damage.

The Register opinion responds to Anthropic researcher Jacob Coxon's resignation over concerns AI 'could kill us all by the end of the decade,' a post that drew over 110 million views in under 24 hours. Anthropic science lead Evan Hubinger stated he believes there is a greater than 10 percent chance AI kills all humans within a decade and that Anthropic lacks a plan to solve superintelligence alignment. The author argues researchers ignore measurable present harms such as climate change, chatbot-linked suicides, autonomous vehicle failures, and AI-directed warfare. The piece proposes criminal liability for executives shipping unsafe models, citing Volkswagen emissions and Gree dehumidifier prosecutions as precedent.

Former Deepmind PR staffer says the lab once banned public discussion of AI extinction risk

Former DeepMind communications staffer Vishal Maini says the lab banned any public discussion of AI extinction risk from 2018 to 2022.

Vishal Maini, who worked on DeepMind's communications and policy team from 2018 to 2022, says external communication about the possibility of human extinction was prohibited at every level of the organization, and researchers were coached to dismiss such risks as alarmism. Internally, the team knew the AI alignment problem was unsolved and understaffed. After months of pushback, positively framed safety content was permitted. His account comes as more AI safety researchers, including some at DeepMind, speak publicly about unsecured models and loss-of-control risks.

The Decoder · 6d agoAI safety & security

Toward an Empirical Probabilistic Risk Manifestation Model of Organizational Cybersecurity in SMEs

Empirical study of 22 SME security assessments builds a probabilistic risk model and shows assessments can be cut 24-45% while retaining most critical findings.

Researchers analyzed 281 validated security findings from 22 real-world SME cybersecurity assessments conducted over two years via a pro bono university clinic. They derived an empirical Risk Manifestation Model linking eight organizational security functions to two exposure conditions, five attack mechanisms, and six outcome categories, using probability propagation to identify dominant risk pathways. The dominant pathway runs from asset exposure to credential compromise to unauthorized access, stable under leave-one-organization-out analysis. Retaining six functions reduces assessment burden by 24% while preserving 97% of critical findings; five functions cut burden 45% while preserving 89% of critical findings.

arXiv cs.CR · 2d agoResearch

"Chilling" warning or overreaction? AI bioweapons report divides experts

Science article examines expert disagreement over whether a report on AI-enabled bioweapons risks is a chilling warning or an overreaction.

A Science.org article, shared on Hacker News with 20 points and 2 comments, covers expert divisions over an AI bioweapons report and whether its warnings are justified or exaggerated. The discussion reflects ongoing debate in the AI safety and biosecurity community about assessing AI's role in biological threat enhancement. Minimal detail is available from the item itself.

Will AI kill us all within the next decade?

Anthropic alignment lead Evan Hubinger says he personally estimates a greater than 10% chance AI could kill all humans within the next decade.

A Wall Street Journal report says concerns are rising inside AI labs that competition is pushing companies toward self-improving models that could spiral out of human control. Anthropic's Alignment Science lead Evan Hubinger publicly endorsed researcher Jacob Coxon's warning, giving a personal estimate of a greater than 10% chance of AI causing human extinction within a decade, driven by recursive self-improvement. Hubinger described the risk from current models as low, focusing his concern on future systems with far greater autonomy. The piece argues for safeguards such as independent testing, limits on high-risk autonomous uses, transparency, and accountability.

Malwarebytes Labs · 6d agoAI safety & security

An Anthropic researcher’s doomsday warning comes at a very interesting time

An Anthropic researcher resigned warning the company is 'gambling with our lives' racing toward superintelligence, timed with its reported IPO preparation.

TechCrunch's Equity podcast discusses the resignation of an Anthropic researcher who warned on X that the company is 'racing straight to self-improving superintelligence and gambling with our lives'. The company's own alignment lead co-signed the message rather than walking it back. The hosts note the warning lands differently with Anthropic reportedly preparing for an IPO. The episode also covers Apple's AI-focused event, Stokes Space's $1 billion raise, Cognition raising $2 billion at a $48 billion valuation, and a $50 million seed round for floating nuclear reactors.

TechCrunch · AI · 5d agoAI industry1

Trends in Web Threats: Attackers Were More Active During Holiday Season

Unit 42 tracked 533,000 malicious landing URL incidents from October-December 2021, showing web threats peaked during the holiday shopping season.

Unit 42 detected 533,452 malicious landing URL incidents (120,753 unique) and 2,906,875 malicious host URL incidents (165,255 unique) from October through December 2021. Threat activity peaked in November, likely tied to Black Friday in the United States, United Kingdom, and Germany. Most malicious domains appeared to originate in the United States, followed by Russia and Germany. Personal sites, blogs, business sites, and shopping sites were the most common apparently benign entry points for attacks.

Palo Alto Unit 42 · Aug 17, 2026Research

Anthropic's Enterprise Frontier Safeguards lets your Claude logs stay in your cloud

Anthropic launches Enterprise Frontier Safeguards, letting regulated customers keep Claude usage logs in their own cloud storage under their own keys with automated misuse detection.

Anthropic unveiled Enterprise Frontier Safeguards, co-designed with eight members of the Analysis and Resilience Center for Systemic Risk and more than 100 customers including Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, Visa, Mastercard, Comcast, KPMG, and Salesforce. Misuse-detection activity data can live in the customer's Amazon S3, Azure Blob Storage, or Google Cloud Storage under customer-managed keys, with fully automated review and no human inspection by Anthropic; automated systems watch for offensive cyber or biological capability development and signs of stolen credentials. The offering replaces the friction around Fable 5's 30-day retention policy, costs nothing extra, spans Claude Enterprise, Claude Platform, Amazon Bedrock, Google's Agent Platform, and Microsoft Foundry, with broad availability targeted for later this fall.

Help Net Security · 14d agoAI industry1

You Get What You Sample: Evaluating Sampling Strategies for Web Security Measurements

Evaluation of 500k Tranco and 24.8M Common Crawl hosts shows Top-N domain sampling biases web security measurements; probability sampling yields unbiased estimates.

The study is the first comprehensive investigation of how sampling strategies affect web security measurement conclusions, comparing datasets and strategies across 500k Tranco domains and 24.8M Common Crawl hosts. It shows Top-N selection does not reflect the overall web distribution and may bias observed vulnerability rates, while probability-based strategies yield stable, unbiased prevalence and impact estimates. Hybrid sampling offers no advantage because its deterministic prefix consistently hurts accuracy, and the authors propose an adaptive probability-based strategy effective even when target prevalence is unknown.

arXiv cs.CR · 6d agoResearch1

What’s behind the AI industry’s latest warnings of doom?

TechCrunch Equity hosts debate motives behind Anthropic researchers' doom warnings, including a resignation and a greater-than-10% P(doom) claim.

AI researcher Jacob Coxon resigned from Anthropic saying leading labs are 'gambling with our lives'; Anthropic's alignment lead amplified the post saying 'We really do earnestly believe AI could kill all humans!' with a stated greater-than-10% chance within a decade. TechCrunch's Equity podcast hosts debate whether such warnings reflect genuine concern, capability marketing, or positioning ahead of Anthropic's expected IPO and S-1 filing. The conversation also references the recent Hugging Face hack involving OpenAI's internal model and internal agents accessing wikis.

TechCrunch · AI · 3d agoAI safety & security2· 1 read

Mythos Vulnerability Firehose Hits a Human Bottleneck

Analysis of Project Glasswing findings shows only a fraction of discovered vulnerabilities have reached disclosure and even fewer are fixed.

Dark Reading reports that an analysis of Project Glasswing findings shows only a fraction of the vulnerabilities discovered by the program have reached disclosure, and an even smaller number have been fixed. The article examines how the volume of findings from the discovery program is bottlenecked by limited human triage and remediation capacity. The piece highlights growing tension between high-volume vulnerability discovery and the industry's ability to process, disclose and patch reports.

Dark Reading · 7d agoResearch

Disruptive cyber activity highlights risk from internet-exposed systems and edge devices

NCSC links disruptive cyber activity to internet-exposed systems and edge devices, urging OT owners to fix avoidable vulnerabilities and improve resilience.

The UK's NCSC issued guidance following disruptive cyber activity that highlights the risk to internet-exposed systems and edge devices. It encourages owners of operational technology to remediate avoidable vulnerabilities and invest in long-term cyber resilience. The notice underscores that exposed edge devices remain a common entry point for attackers against OT environments.

NCSC UK · 20d agoAdvisory in the wild

Most of the bugs Claude Mythos found have never been checked by a human

Echo's analysis found only 1,900 of 23,019 Claude Mythos-found vulnerabilities were externally reviewed, 90.8% held up, but the model overstated most severities.

Echo analyzed results from Anthropic's Claude Mythos Preview vulnerability sweep across 281 open-source projects, which produced 23,019 candidate vulnerabilities, of which only 1,900 were externally reviewed. Of those, 90.8% held up as real, 1,451 of 1,596 maintainer reports were acknowledged, 97 fixes landed upstream, and 88 became advisories, but 14 of the 27 CVE-assigned severity ratings mismatched independent scoring, mostly overstated. On Anthropic's SpiderMonkey benchmark, Claude Mythos turned known crashes into working code execution exploits in 72.4% of 250 trials, versus below 1% for Claude Opus 4.6. Echo cautions the reviewed sample likely was not randomly drawn, so the accuracy figure may not generalize to the other 21,119 unreviewed candidates.

Help Net Security · 12d agoAI research

Countering misuse of AI: September 2026 / Anthropic

Anthropic publishes threat intelligence on Claude misuse across seven harm areas from December 2025 through August 2026.

Anthropic's Threat Intelligence team details disrupted operations using Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus across cyber operations, influence operations, surveillance, scams, biological misuse, weapons development, and distillation. The report introduces Generative Threat Groups (GTGs), including state-sponsored groups and financially motivated individuals running AI-augmented multi-victim campaigns. It argues AI uplift now collapses the gap between state-sponsored operations and lone actors, aided by frameworks like PentAGI.

Lobsters · securityupdated · 10h agofirst · 5d agoAI safety & security 18 sources1

The Vulnpocalypse Is Repricing the Bug Bounty Economy

Surging AI-generated vulnerability reports are driving down bug bounty payouts, threatening the economics of independent security researchers.

Dark Reading argues that a surge of AI-powered vulnerability reports is repricing the bug bounty economy. As programs absorb escalating report volume, payouts for many classes of findings are falling. The trend could undermine the livelihoods of independent full-time bug bounty researchers.

Dark Reading · 19d agoIndustry