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Show HN: Sunk Cost – How long until a local LLM rig pays for itself?

Show HN tool 'Sunk Cost' calculates when a local LLM rig breaks even versus falling API prices, factoring electricity cost and inference speed.

A Hacker News Show HN project called Sunk Cost models the payback period of buying local LLM hardware instead of paying API prices. Users can adjust assumptions like electricity cost ($/kWh) and API speed (tokens/second), and the model assumes API prices keep falling. Where local speed is unmeasured, it is estimated from memory bandwidth divided by bytes read per token, and labelled as an estimate.

Hacker News · security · 1d agoAI tools & infraHN 30↑ · 31 comments

Is Cyber Facing an Affordability Crisis?

Dark Reading analysis argues record breach costs and roughly $240 billion in cyber defense spending leave small businesses dangerously exposed, threatening supply chains.

The analysis examines an affordability crisis in cybersecurity, noting breach costs have reached record highs while defense spending approaches $240 billion. It argues small businesses are dangerously under-protected relative to rising attack costs. Weak small-business defenses are framed as a supply chain security risk for larger organizations.

Dark Reading · 22d agoIndustry

Using Blender with coding agents on macOS

Simon Willison demonstrates driving the Blender macOS app with ChatGPT Codex coding agents to render scenes via Python, costing roughly $4.24 at API rates.

Willison documents installing the full Blender application from blender.org and using ChatGPT Codex on macOS to render a pelican-riding-a-bicycle scene through Blender's Python API. He refined the output with follow-up prompts. AgentsView estimated the equivalent API cost at $4.24 for gpt-6-astra.

Simon Willison · 11d agoAI tools & infra1

Asana cleared 5 years of engineering work in 2 weeks with Codex

Asana used OpenAI Codex to replace an outdated testing system in two weeks, work estimated at five years for about $12K.

Asana reports using OpenAI's Codex to replace a legacy testing system, completing work originally scoped at five years in roughly two weeks at a cost of about $12,000. OpenAI published the project as a showcase of Codex for large-scale engineering automation. The figures come from the companies' own account and are not independently verified.

OpenAI News · 29d agoAI industry

Cost-Aware Hierarchical Multi-Agent Ransomware Detection and Family Attribution

Researchers propose a hierarchical multi-agent system that cuts ransomware analysis cost by 44% while reaching 96.57% detection accuracy.

An arXiv paper (2609.04820) presents a Cost-Aware Hierarchical Multi-Agent System (HMAS) for adaptive ransomware detection and family attribution. Specialized agents run static analysis first, with dynamic and memory modalities invoked only when confidence is insufficient or specialists disagree; a Meta Orchestrator balances accuracy against computational cost via a cost model, and a locally deployed LLM verifies difficult cases. The system achieved 96.57% accuracy, 0.96 F1-score, and 0.99 ROC-AUC for binary detection, and 0.90 macro-F1 for multiclass family attribution. Average analysis cost dropped 43.97% versus exhaustive analysis, with 56.05% of cases resolved using static evidence alone.

arXiv cs.CR · 12d agoResearch

Top AI spenders cut per-employee costs by nearly 10 percent in August

Ramp's September AI Index shows top AI spenders' per-employee costs fell 9.7% in August as firms migrate from frontier models to cheaper standard models.

Ramp's September 2026 AI Index reports median per-employee AI spending at the top 1% of spenders fell 9.7% in August to $7,205, partly attributed to August vacations, falling token prices, and migration to cheaper models. The effective price per million tokens dropped 41% from its March 2026 peak to $0.68, and frontier models like Opus, Fable, and Sol fell from 53% to 45% of tokens consumed. Anthropic was paid for by 43.8% of US companies (up 0.34 points) versus 39.8% for OpenAI (up 0.09 points), while open-weight models remain marginal at 6.4% of AI-using firms.

The Decoder · 6d agoAI industry1

$536 and 8 Hours: AI Learns to Attack a Different PLC

Forescout used Claude to port a WAGO PLC exploit for $536 in 8 hours, and an AI-generated payload later permanently bricked the test device.

Forescout researchers used Claude Code with Ghidra, terminal access, and physical hardware to port CVE-2021-31886, a pre-authentication buffer overflow in the Nucleus FTP server, from a WAGO 750-852 PLC to the WAGO 750-831 without source code or debugger access. The final RCE development stage cost $535.74 in API fees over an 8-hour, 32-minute session (2.6k input and 1.3M output tokens) and required heavy researcher guidance. Claude produced working ICMP and UDP beacon exploits in 12 minutes after identifying that normal FTP command completion was overwriting its shellcode, fixed by omitting the CRLF terminator. A follow-up session extending the payloads toward a C2 implant wrote to flash-mapped memory and permanently bricked the PLC, underscoring the risks of autonomous agents operating against physical infrastructure.

Security Affairs · 14d agoResearchCVE-2021-318861

Meta is paying to peek at how you use their latest AI model

Meta offers roughly 95% discounts on Muse Spark token pricing for customers who share prompts and outputs to train future models.

Meta's contributor pricing tier for its Muse Spark agentic coding model cuts input token costs from $1.25 to $0.10 per million and output tokens from $4.25 to $0.20 per million in exchange for access to user prompts and outputs. The move reflects labs' difficulty obtaining training data for agentic workflows, following Meta's paused employee computer-usage tracking initiative. Analysts note the incentive could push enterprises to clarify which data is shareable, and it fits broader price competition against Anthropic's Fable and Mythos models and OpenAI's July price cuts.

TechCrunch · AI · 13d agoAI industry

RTK reports token savings, but our cost benchmarks disagree

Quesma's $1,500 benchmark found RTK cuts reported token output but changes Claude Code and DeepSeek coding costs by only about 5% on Terminal-Bench 2.1.

Quesma benchmarked RTK (Rust Token Killer), a popular tool with 79k GitHub stars that filters terminal output for AI coding agents, whose README claims up to 90% output reduction. Across 1,740 Terminal-Bench 2.1 attempts running Claude Code with Fable 5.0 and OpenCode with DeepSeek V4 Pro 0813, total costs moved only -5% for Fable and +5% for DeepSeek, with pass rates dropping 1-2%. RTK's own rtk gain metric reported 349.2 million tokens saved (an 89% reduction) across 445 DeepSeek attempts, but this did not correlate with actual cost savings, and cached terminal-output reads cost as little as 1/10 to 1/30 of regular input tokens. A bug in rtk find 0.45.0 caused one agent to loop with 339 consecutive errors, costing roughly 9x the baseline attempt, though the task still passed.

Hacker News · securityupdated · 4d agofirst · 5d agoAI tools & infra 2 sourcesHN 28↑ · 10 comments1

Akamai’s Customer-First Approach to Application Protection Costs

Akamai outlines a customer-first pricing approach for its application protection and web application security offerings.

Akamai published a vendor piece describing its customer-first approach to application protection costs. The article concerns pricing for its web application and API security offerings rather than a security incident. No technical details were available in the source text.

Akamai Blog · 20d agoIndustry

GitHub Introduces Project HydraFusion: Runtime Multi-Model Orchestration That Builds a Workflow Per Coding Task in Copilot CLI

GitHub's Project HydraFusion research preview builds per-task multi-model workflows (Single, Cascade, Critique) in Copilot CLI, reporting +4.9 quality at 67% lower cost on TerminalBench 2.1.

Project HydraFusion is a research preview available on all GitHub Copilot plans inside Copilot CLI that treats model routing as workflow selection, choosing among Single, Cascade (draft plus quality gate), and Critique (cross-family reviewer) execution patterns per request. Against Claude Opus 5 baselines at medium reasoning, fixed HydraFusion policies cut estimated cost 67% while adding 4.9 quality points on TerminalBench 2.1, and cut cost 36% and 65% with slight quality dips on DeepSWE and CheckpointBench. Billing is per token at each underlying model's standard rate; there are no open weights or self-hosting options.

MarkTechPost · 10d agoAI tools & infra1

Necessary or Sufficient? Evaluating LLM Explanations With Behavioural Evidence

New framework tests whether LLM-cited explanation factors are necessary or sufficient, finding weak correlation across Claude, GPT, and Gemini models.

An arXiv paper introduces black-box intervention tests measuring whether factors LLMs cite in their explanations are necessary or sufficient for their outputs in agent oversight workflows. Across eight models from the Claude, GPT, and Gemini families, Spearman correlations between cited rankings and measured influence ranged from 0.349-0.354 (advisor recommendation) to 0.431-0.580 (prompt monitoring). Uncited factors scored above the lowest cited factor in up to 57.6% of advisor responses, showing cited top-three factors do not reliably identify the most influential inputs.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL · 12d agoAI safety & security1

Decomposition Buys Integrity, Not Yield

Study of 600 production deep-research traces finds agent-tree decomposition loses findings at rate N^(1-δ); flat architectures maximize yield.

The paper models multi-agent decomposition as a tree where an agent holding b items retains each with probability r(b); with r(b)=1/b every tree delivers exactly one finding regardless of shape. Analysis of 600 production deep-research traces estimates delta=0.34 retention decay, and 1,012 annotated traces show one brief in sixteen goes off-target per tier, giving an alignment penalty of 0.536. Depth still cuts root context exposure from N to N^(1/k) and is cheaper at scale, with a hazard model over 743,819 production tool calls showing delegation is an opening move rather than a response to filling context.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL · 1d agoAI research

Product showcase: AI Paper Trail shows the privacy cost of talking to AI

Proton launched AI Paper Trail, a free tool that analyzes ChatGPT or Claude exports and reports what personal data can be inferred from AI conversations.

Proton released AI Paper Trail, a free web tool that analyzes the 200 most recent prompts from exported ChatGPT or Claude conversation histories and generates a privacy report with an AI Exposure Score, inferred personal data categories, and an estimated advertising value. In a hands-on test it identified 47 data points, returned a 58/100 exposure score, estimated $185 in advertising value, and flagged five red flags spanning location, interests, finances, and relationships. Proton states that uploaded data is deleted after analysis and is not stored on its Lumo servers.

Help Net Security · 23d agoAI industry

Wiz on Wiz: How the Wiz FinOps Team Uses Wiz Cloud Cost

Wiz details how its internal FinOps team uses Wiz Cloud Cost to investigate and optimize cloud spend with deep security context.

Wiz published a walkthrough describing how its own FinOps team uses the Wiz Cloud Cost product for cloud cost investigation and optimization. The post emphasizes pairing cost data with deep cloud context to identify and act on spend drivers.

Wiz Blog · Aug 14, 2026Industry

Generative Marketing Mix Modeling: A Causal Inference Framework Linking GEO and GEM to Business Impact

Paper proposes Generative Marketing Mix Modeling to causally estimate Generative Engine Optimization and Marketing effects on business outcomes.

The authors develop GMMM, a causal inference framework for measuring how often users see and notice a firm's name in generated answers, which standard marketing data ignore. For GEO it combines repeated generated answers with question counts, shares of generative-system usage and notice probabilities; for GEM it uses sponsored placement records with notice probabilities. The framework compares expected business responses under alternative treatment sequences, establishes identification conditions, and is evaluated on simulated product-recommendation answers in English and Japanese.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL · 6d agoAI research

Occamy-1.0: Open Pareto-frontier 35B Intelligence for Co-work

Occamy-1.0 releases open 35B weights post-trained from Qwen3.6-35B-A3B, targeting cost-efficient co-work agents at Pareto-frontier pricing.

Occamy-1.0 is a cost-efficient co-work agent model built by further training the post-trained Qwen3.6-35B-A3B checkpoint, using execution-grounded data, replayable long-horizon trajectories across multiple harnesses, and staged post-training. It consistently ranks among the strongest comparably sized models across co-work benchmarks and remains competitive with substantially larger frontier systems on several tasks. Its aggregate performance across four representative benchmarks places it at the low-cost knee of the observed cost-performance Pareto frontier, while preserving tool calling, coding, and instruction following capability. The model weights and a subset of training data are publicly released.

Hugging Face daily papers · 12d agoModel release

Distill Globally, Adapt Locally: Reasoning Distillation and Product-Type Test-Time Training for Scalable Trade-Up Recommendation

A distillation framework compresses LLM reasoning into a 15.5M-parameter trade-up recommendation model reaching AUC 0.941 with product-type test-time training.

The paper targets trade-up recommendation, which identifies higher-quality alternatives that preserve customer purchase intent. A retrieval-augmented few-shot LLM teacher generates labels and rationales that supervise a compact embedding-pair classifier; at inference the 15.5M-parameter student uses only two precomputed 768-dimensional embeddings with no LLM calls. On 8,352 annotated pairs, label-only training scored AUC 0.912, reasoning distillation reached 0.924, and product-type test-time training lifted it to 0.941 with average precision 0.940. The distilled student is roughly 5,000x faster and 10,000x cheaper than direct LLM inference on a 100K-pair proxy catalog.

arXiv cs.AI / cs.LG / cs.CL · 12d agoAI research

Democratizing FinOps with Wiz: Driving Cost Attribution with the Wiz Service Catalog

Wiz promotes Service Catalog and Cloud Cost features that automate cost attribution to teams and services to enable developer-led FinOps optimization.

Wiz describes how its Service Catalog and Cloud Cost capabilities automate cloud cost allocation to engineering teams and services. The stated goal is to connect cloud spend to business value and power developer-led cost optimization. The post is vendor product marketing rather than a security disclosure.

Wiz Blog · 21d agoTools

Exclusive: Paying for frontier AI models buys 4-month head start at 5x the cost

Mozilla report finds the capability gap between best open-weights (largely Chinese) and closed frontier AI models narrowed to 4.4 months at ~5x lower cost.

Mozilla's State of Open Source AI report (September 15) says the gap between closed frontier models and best open-weights models has closed to 4.4 months. Moonshot AI's Kimi K3 scores three points behind Anthropic's Fable 5 on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index at 30% of the cost, and Z.ai's GLM 5.2 scored within a point of Claude Opus 4.7 on Terminal-Bench 2.1. Eight of the top 10 OpenRouter models by August 2026 token volume provide open weights, though a Linux Foundation paper found open models earned only 4% of revenue. The report recommends open models as the default for routine workloads, reserving closed models for 8-12 hour expert tasks.

Ars Technica · AI · 1d agoAI industry1

The Frontier AEO Tracker: What Astra Chooses (and every other frontier model, and what you can do about it)

Latent Space launches an AEO tracker scoring 7 frontier models' product recommendations across 161 categories, revealing generational bias flips.

Latent Space built a tracker measuring Answer Engine Optimization by running 6 prompt variations across 7 frontier models with search enabled over 161 product categories, scoring first choices, alternatives, mentions, and anti-recommendations. It found 28 categories with a universally dominant primary choice and observed soft biases, such as models favoring their own lab's coding agents. Analysis of Anthropic's Sol→Astra and Opus→Fable generations showed newer models consulting fewer sources and being less likely to change answers when questions are paraphrased.

Latent Space · 8d agoAI research

What Else Needs Fixing? Exploring Cost-Effective Test-Time Compute for Revision Propagation in Artifacts Generated Through Conversation

A new benchmark shows LLMs reach 68.3-93% accuracy propagating local revisions across conversationally generated artifacts, with parallel-sample selection most cost-effective.

The paper introduces a benchmark for revision propagation: when users request a local change, LLMs must identify dependencies and update all affected parts of an artifact generated through conversation, where context lives in the chat history. Nine revision methods, including sequential reflection and parallel sampling variants, were evaluated on gpt-oss-20b/120b, gpt-5.4-mini, and qwen3.5-9b/27b/122b. Baselines scored 68.3-93% accuracy, and selecting among three parallel samples via LLM-based or medoid selection improved accuracy by 2.2-9.7% as the most cost-effective test-time compute strategy. Code and dataset are released.

Hugging Face daily papers · 13d agoAI research

GPT‑6 Astra

OpenAI launches GPT-6 Astra, a frontier model scoring 99.9% on ARC-AGI 3, priced $10/$50 per million tokens, rolling out to ChatGPT and API.

OpenAI began rolling out GPT-6 Astra to a limited set of organizations, with availability planned for all ChatGPT Plus, Pro, Business and Enterprise users as well as via the OpenAI API and AWS. API pricing matches Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 and 5.1 at $10 per million input tokens and $50 per million output tokens. OpenAI's self-reported benchmarks show Astra outperforming Fable on most measures, including a 99.9% score on the ARC-AGI 3 benchmark released in March.

Simon Willison · 12d agoModel release1

Studying Without a Syllabus: Task-Agnostic Environment Preprocessing

Paper formalizes task-agnostic environment preprocessing, where agents study unfamiliar environments under a budget to build reusable artifacts for a frozen solver.

The paper formalizes task-agnostic environment preprocessing, where a studying system explores an environment under a budget and produces artifacts like indices, scripts, or procedural guidance for a frozen solver, without task examples or evaluation feedback. The authors compare unaided and archive-equipped meta-agents against fixed synthetic-practice and corpus-processing methods across six heterogeneous benchmarks. A meta-agent variant achieves the highest Avg@3 reward on five benchmarks, while fixed corpus processing remains best on the largest corpus benchmark. Studied artifacts reduce the test-time sampling needed to reach a given score, shifting computation from repeated test-time attempts to a pre-task study phase.

Hugging Face daily papers · 7d agoAI research

AI spend per employee slumped at top firms in August — summer doldrums or a warning sign?

Ramp data across 70,000 companies shows August AI adoption grew just 0.4% while per-employee spend at top-spending firms fell nearly 10% to $7,205 amid declining token prices.

Ramp's spending data shows 56% of its customers paid for AI products in August, up only 0.4% month-over-month, with spend per employee in the top 1% of firms down almost 10% to $7,205. Average token costs have dropped to $0.68 per million tokens from a 2026 peak of $1.15 in March after price cuts by OpenAI and Anthropic, and the labs have not yet offset the cuts with volume, with customers shifting to cheaper models like ChatGPT 5.6-Terra and Claude Sonnet. The US Census Bureau's broader survey shows only 22% of businesses report using AI, suggesting Ramp's tech-heavy client base overstates adoption, while only 6.4% of AI-spending businesses used model-serving or inference platforms in August.

TechCrunch · AI · 7d agoAI industry

Legora reviewed 41 documents in minutes with GPT-6 Astra

Legal-tech firm Legora says GPT-6 Astra reviewed 41 financial documents in minutes, catching all four planted errors and boosting accuracy about 40%.

Legal technology company Legora reported using OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra to review 41 financial-statement documents in minutes. The workflow found all four planted errors and improved performance by nearly 40% compared to prior processes. The case study highlights AI-assisted financial review adoption in professional services.

OpenAI News · 13d agoAI industry

[AINews] Claude Fable/Mythos 5.1: new SOTA model, 75% cache price cut but 70% more output tokens

Anthropic launched Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, claiming new SOTA benchmarks, with 75% cache-read price cut and 1M-token context.

Anthropic released Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 as flagship models for coding and knowledge work, with a 1M-token context window and pricing of $10/$50 per million input/output tokens and cache reads cut 75% to $0.25. Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index scored Fable 5.1 at 66 versus 63 for Claude Opus 5, with HLE at 59.1% and Terminal-Bench v2.1 at 91.4%, though per-task cost rose ~20% due to 1.7x output token usage. Community analysis suggested Fable and Mythos may share underlying weights with different safety/routing behavior, and release notes highlighted Enterprise Frontier Safeguards and zero-data-retention support.

Latent Space · 14d agoModel release2

Cyber-Attacks Cost Organizations $52,000 on Average

Hiscox's 2026 survey of 6,800 security leaders found 29% of organizations hit by successful attacks averaging $52,000 in costs and 32.8 hours of downtime.

The Hiscox Cyber Readiness Report 2026, based on a survey of 6,800 security decision-makers across the UK, Europe, and US, found 29% of organizations suffered at least one successful cyber-attack in the past 12 months, averaging four incidents per victim. UK firms were most attacked at 38% while US firms were least at 20%; average incident cost was $52,000 globally, peaking at $134,138 in Italy, with 32.8 hours of average downtime. Impacts included growth delays (32%), financial penalties (28%), and burnout or toxic culture (69%). Businesses invest about $51,000 annually in resilience, and 32% now tie executive compensation to cybersecurity outcomes.

Infosecurity Magazine · 7h agoIndustry

E2A-Bench: Benchmarking Evidence-to-Action Reliability in Financial Chart Reasoning

E2A-Bench, a 969-query financial chart reasoning benchmark, finds VLMs fail evidence-to-action consistency, with fine-tuning amplifying BUY:SELL bias 4-6x.

E2A-Bench is a 969-query benchmark built from 323 HS300 constituents across three input modalities with deterministic OHLCV-derived evidence anchors, evaluating grounding, reasoning-action consistency, evidence-confidence calibration, and directional coverage via UCR, RCI, ECI, and NDR metrics. Testing 20 VLMs showed the lowest-hallucination model ranked near the bottom on coverage with only 6.4% directional coverage, and oracle-aided verification reduced unsupported claims but could collapse coverage. Financial fine-tuning amplified the BUY:SELL ratio by factors of 4.21 to 4.68 across base-fine-tuned pairs.

Hugging Face daily papers · 3d agoAI research

What 90 days and a small budget can buy in AI agent security

Versa Field CISO details hidden costs of self-hosting open-weight models and a 90-day AI agent security plan of inventory, blast-radius reduction and testing.

In a Help Net Security interview, Prasad Tharippala, Field CISO at Versa, argues running open-weight models in-house improves control but shifts hardening, patching, access control, monitoring and incident response onto the buyer, with underestimated costs in GPU infrastructure, licensing review, EU AI Act compliance and scarce AI/ML security skills. On red-teaming AI agents, he recommends testing prompt injection, indirect injection, excessive permissions, data leakage, memory and RAG poisoning, malicious tool outputs, cross-agent trust abuse and infrastructure attack paths, mapped to OWASP agentic guidance and MITRE ATLAS. He highlights the handoff between chained agents as a major risk zone and stresses exercising human approval, shutdown and rollback controls under test conditions. For teams with 90 days and small budgets, he ranks inventory, blast radius reduction and ongoing testing as the priority order.

Help Net Security · 19d agoAI safety & security