Harness-delta method finds much agent-harness gain is overfitting
In 21 significant settings, overfitting and test-time scaling explain 54% and 14% of the gain on average.
5 stories, newest first · one card per story
In 21 significant settings, overfitting and test-time scaling explain 54% and 14% of the gain on average.
TextReg curbs prompt overfitting, gaining up to 16.5% out-of-distribution accuracy over REVOLVE.

Amazon researchers explain why ML research agents avoid benchmark overfitting, attributing generalization to compressibility of successful strategies.
Study finds Mixture-of-Experts models overfit faster than dense Transformers under repeated training data, with degradation tied to total parameter sparsity.

Opinion piece argues viral demos like one-prompt Minecraft recreations are overfit 'demo-benchmarks' measuring preparation, not true model capability.
Today 1.6K readers · 2.5K views · 779 reads · all time 189K views