FACTS-MAS weights forecasts by each evidence channel's skill
On housing inventory and unemployment claims for 15 U.S. metros, it beats TimesFM, while factor-adjusted exponential smoothing matches the fused forecast.
Stories per day · 30 days
2 RSS
Relatedtime-series3forecasting2chronos-21counterfactuals1fine-tuning1foundation-models1housing1mistral1multi-agent1system-identification1timestral1
4 stories, newest first · one card per story
Stories tagged #timesfm
Mistral releases Timestral, a 209M forecasting model family
The title says the family outperforms Google’s TimesFM-3; the article body was not in the provided text.
Attenuated in-context identification in time-series foundation models: diagnosis under counterfactual inputs and repair by synthetic forced-system fine-tuning
Time-series foundation models attenuate counterfactual dynamics; synthetic forced-system fine-tuning partly restores response magnitude.
NanoForecast v0.5: Competitive Time Series Forecasting Through Training Pipeline Optimization
NanoForecast v0.5, a 6.5M forecaster, beats much larger TimesFM on ETT after pipeline fixes.